Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Warhawks             Coach  =   Rich Hodge            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.6425247    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Briar Woods            VA    Dulles  (16- 2, 97.1)     6- 9   
 316 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (18- 4, 97.7)     3- 6   
 317 H Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 93.7)    14-13   
 328 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 1-14, 77.3)    17- 6   
 402 N Edison                 VA    Nationl (13- 6, 90.7)     9- 5   
 403 N Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   (10- 6, 89.2)    10- 5   
 404 N Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 8-10, 82.8)    12- 6   
 411 H Centreville            VA    Concord (10- 5, 94.6)    13-10   
 413 A Langley                VA    Liberty (22- 2, 99.9)     4-10   
 417 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-10, 83.6)    18- 4   
 423 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 7- 6, 89.1)     7- 8   
 426 H Fairfax                VA    Liberty ( 3- 9, 83.0)    12- 3   
 430 A Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 8- 7, 92.6)    15-12   
 502 H Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 8- 6, 88.2)    16- 3   
 504 H Fairfax                VA    Liberty ( 3- 9, 83.0)     9- 3   
 508 N Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 8- 7, 92.6)    11- 5   
 511 A Langley                VA    Liberty (22- 2, 99.9)    12-13   
 516 H Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 6, 94.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Briar Woods             6- 9      -3    -2          n/a  
   316 A Chantilly               3- 6      -3    -2          -0.02
   317 H Oakton                 14-13       1     1          -0.99
   328 A Marshall               17- 6      11    17           0.00
   402 N Edison                  9- 5       4     4          -0.49
   403 N Stonewall Jackson      10- 5       5     6          n/a  
   404 N Mount Vernon           12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   411 H Centreville            13-10       3     1           1.85
   413 A Langley                 4-10      -6    -5          -0.80
   417 A McLean                 18- 4      14    11           0.00
   423 H South Lakes             7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.66
   426 H Fairfax                12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   430 A Stone Bridge           15-12       3     2           0.85
   502 H Thos Jefferson         16- 3      13     7    +      2.49
   504 H Fairfax                 9- 3       6    12    --    -4.00
   508 N Stone Bridge           11- 5       6     2    +      3.34
   511 A Langley                12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.20
   516 H Westfield              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H South Lakes             7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.66
   404 N Mount Vernon           12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   504 H Fairfax                 9- 3       6    12    --    -4.00
   516 H Westfield              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Langley                12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.20
   502 H Thos Jefferson         16- 3      13     7    +      2.49
   508 N Stone Bridge           11- 5       6     2    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.21 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.69 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/