Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Matt O'Neil           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2862396    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 5-15, 73.1)     9- 3   
 403 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (10-10, 87.7)     3-16   
 405 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (10-10, 88.3)     3-12   
 407 A Central Catholic       MA 1          ( 3-17, 70.6)    10- 4   
 410 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (13- 9, 89.1)     3-10   
 414 H Beverly                MA 2          (14- 5, 88.3)     5-12   
 417 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (13-10, 85.2)     6-13   
 419 A Martha's Vineyard      MA 3          ( 9-11, 77.5)     9- 3   
 423 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (19- 4, 93.7)     4- 8   
 426 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (10-10, 87.7)     0-11   
 428 H Londonderry            NH 1          (14- 5, 91.9)     4- 5   
 501 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (10-10, 88.3)     4- 8   
 505 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (13- 9, 89.1)     2-11   
 508 H Medford                MA 1          (14- 7, 76.8)    12- 6   
 510 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (19- 4, 93.7)     1- 8   
 514 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 96.1)     5- 6   
 521 H Haverhill              MA 1          (13- 6, 81.8)     6- 9   
 523 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 8-10, 78.6)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Dracut                  9- 3       6     5           0.62
   403 A St Johns Prep Danvers   3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   405 H Xaverian Bros           3-12      -9    -9           0.78
   407 A Central Catholic       10- 4       6     5           0.21
   410 H Boston College HS       3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   414 H Beverly                 5-12      -7    -9    +      2.80
   417 A Chelmsford              6-13      -7    -8           1.88
   419 A Martha's Vineyard       9- 3       6    -1    +++    7.09
   423 H Catholic Memorial       4- 8      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   426 H St Johns Prep Danvers   0-11     -11    -9          -0.77
   428 H Londonderry             4- 5      -1   -13          n/a  
   501 A Xaverian Bros           4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   505 A Boston College HS       2-11      -9   -12           1.00
   508 H Medford                12- 6       6     1    ++     4.30
   510 A Catholic Memorial       1- 8      -7   -17    +      3.00
   514 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 6      -1   -17          n/a  
   521 H Haverhill               6- 9      -3    -3           0.26
   523 H Peabody                 3-15     -12     0    ---   -9.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Peabody                 3-15     -12     0    ---   -9.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Martha's Vineyard       9- 3       6    -1    +++    7.09
   423 H Catholic Memorial       4- 8      -4   -15    +++    6.00
   428 H Londonderry             4- 5      -1   -13    +++        
   501 A Xaverian Bros           4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   514 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 6      -1   -17    +++        
   508 H Medford                12- 6       6     1    ++     4.30
   410 H Boston College HS       3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   414 H Beverly                 5-12      -7    -9    +      2.80
   510 A Catholic Memorial       1- 8      -7   -17    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.44 Local Power Rank...........    82
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    87
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    93
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
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