Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Dan Helms             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.9382019    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 2-16, 67.4)     6- 8   
 323 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)     1-12   
 328 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.8)     1- 7   
 330 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     4-20   
 402 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 59.2)    14- 2   
 404 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.9)     1-22   
 418 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 86.2)     4-19   
 420 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 81.4)     0-11   
 425 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.0)     2-15   
 428 H Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 64.8)    10-16   
 430 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 6, 81.3)     2-19   
 501 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 70.7)     8- 9   
 503 H Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 81.4)     7-12   
 509 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 76.1)     3-15   
 511 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.5)     7- 6   
 515 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 75.9)     6-20   
 518 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 59.2)    19- 5   
 522 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.9)     1-31   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H St Mary's Lancaster     6- 8      -2    -1          -0.67
   323 H Williamsville South     1-12     -11    -5    --    -4.26
   328 H Lockport                1- 7      -6    -7           1.73
   330 H Williamsville East      4-20     -16   -17           0.00
   402 H Gowanda Central        14- 2      12     6    +      3.19
   404 H Silver Creek            1-22     -21   -31           0.00
   418 A Akron                   4-19     -15   -22           0.00
   420 A Wilson Central          0-11     -11   -17           0.00
   425 A Eden                    2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   428 H Bishop Kearney         10-16      -6     1          n/a  
   430 H East Aurora             2-19     -17   -15           0.00
   501 H Grand Island            8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.68
   503 H Wilson Central          7-12      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   509 A Medina                  3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   511 H North Tonawanda         7- 6       1     0           1.49
   515 A Salamanca               6-20     -14   -11           0.00
   518 H Gowanda Central        19- 5      14     6    +      3.19
   522 A Silver Creek            1-31     -30   -33           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Bishop Kearney         10-16      -6     1    ---        
   323 H Williamsville South     1-12     -11    -5    --    -4.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Wilson Central          7-12      -5   -15    ++     5.00
   402 H Gowanda Central        14- 2      12     6    +      3.19
   501 H Grand Island            8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.68
   518 H Gowanda Central        19- 5      14     6    +      3.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 65.06 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.65 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -25.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/