Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Ian Baker             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1411133    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-10, 81.1)     4- 5 2o
 328 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 89.3)     8- 7  o
 331 A State College          PA    CSNLL   (13- 5, 92.5)     6-11   
 402 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (16- 6, 97.0)     4- 6   
 404 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 74.9)     9- 4   
 411 A Northern York          PA    Mid 1   (11- 6, 88.2)     6- 5 2o
 413 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 81.4)     9- 2   
 416 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 82.7)     8- 9   
 418 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (19- 2, 99.4)     3-11   
 421 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (12- 6, 89.1)    11- 9   
 423 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 91.0)     3-10   
 428 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     2-12   
 430 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 81.8)    12- 9   
 503 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     2-14   
 505 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 95.5)     6-14   
 508 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Central Dauphin East    4- 5 2o   -1     2    -     -3.31
   328 A Central Dauphin         8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.83
   331 A State College           6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.09
   402 H Carlisle                4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   404 H Bishop McDevitt         9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   411 A Northern York           6- 5 2o    1    -4    ++     5.75
   413 H Mechanicsburg           9- 2       7     3    +      3.35
   416 H Palmyra                 8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.32
   418 A Hershey                 3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   421 H Governor Mifflin       11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.05
   423 H Trinity HS              3-10      -7    -6          -0.98
   428 A Elizabethtown           2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.85
   430 H Chambersburg           12- 9       3     3          -0.26
   503 A Ephrata                 2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   505 A Cumberland Valley       6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   508 H Cedar Crest             7- 9      -2     5    ---   -7.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Cedar Crest             7- 9      -2     5    ---   -7.72
   404 H Bishop McDevitt         9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   326 A Central Dauphin East    4- 5 2o   -1     2    -     -3.31
   416 H Palmyra                 8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.32
   428 A Elizabethtown           2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Central Dauphin         8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.83
   402 H Carlisle                4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   421 H Governor Mifflin       11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.05
   331 A State College           6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.09
   411 A Northern York           6- 5 2o    1    -4    ++     5.75
   413 H Mechanicsburg           9- 2       7     3    +      3.35
   418 A Hershey                 3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   505 A Cumberland Valley       6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.22 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.16 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/