Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Pioneers             Coach  =   Dave Warmingham       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7799606    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)     5-11   
 327 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     7-14   
 330 N Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (19- 3, 97.9)     2-15   
 402 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    14- 1   
 404 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)     5- 6   
 409 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     3-11   
 411 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     4- 7   
 412 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     3-14   
 416 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     1-17   
 420 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    13- 7   
 424 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)    14- 8   
 426 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     4-14   
 430 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 82.7)     9-13   
 502 A Kennard-Dale           PA    York 2  ( 9- 7, 85.0)     6- 9   
 504 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)    10- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Lancaster Cou Day       5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.76
   327 H Manheim Township        7-14      -7   -14    +      3.00
   330 N Wilson West Lawn        2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   402 A Lancaster Mennonite    14- 1      13    12           0.00
   404 H Conestoga Valley        5- 6      -1    -1           0.40
   409 A Warwick                 3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   411 A Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.66
   412 A Penn Manor              3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   416 H Ephrata                 1-17     -16   -18           0.00
   420 A Garden Spot            13- 7       6     8    -     -2.27
   424 H Cocalico               14- 8       6    -2    +++    8.00
   426 A Hempfield               4-14     -10   -14           0.00
   430 H Palmyra                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.80
   502 A Kennard-Dale            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.06
   504 H Cedar Crest            10- 8       2     2          -0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Lancaster Cou Day       5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.76
   420 A Garden Spot            13- 7       6     8    -     -2.27
   430 H Palmyra                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.66
   424 H Cocalico               14- 8       6    -2    +++    8.00
   327 H Manheim Township        7-14      -7   -14    +      3.00
   409 A Warwick                 3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   502 A Kennard-Dale            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.70 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.90 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/