Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   John Rauseo           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 7-12, 88.8)    19- 6   
 405 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (13- 7, 96.0)    10- 4   
 409 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.6)    16- 0   
 413 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          (11-11, 88.5)    16- 2   
 417 H Northampton            MA 2          (10-11, 92.8)     7- 5   
 419 A Minnechaug             MA 2          (14- 8, 96.4)    11- 6   
 421 A Pinkerton              NH 1          (14- 5, 96.5)    14- 9   
 426 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          (16- 5, 93.9)    11- 3   
 428 H Algonquin              MA 2          (22- 2, 99.9)     8- 9  o
 430 H Westfield              MA 2          (13- 8, 94.7)     9- 8   
 502 H South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     7-13   
 504 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 7-12, 88.8)    17- 7   
 506 A Medfield               MA 2          (16- 5, 93.6)     7-12   
 508 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (13- 7, 96.0)     7-15   
 512 H Weston                 CT S          (17- 5, 89.6)     9- 8 2o
 514 A Northampton            MA 2          (10-11, 92.8)    10- 6   
 516 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 96.1)    12- 5   
 518 H Minnechaug             MA 2          (14- 8, 96.4)    15- 6   
 521 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     9- 8   
 524 A Westfield              MA 2          (13- 8, 94.7)     4- 3   
 605 H Northampton            MA 2          (10-11, 92.8)    10- 7   
 607 N Minnechaug             MA 2          (14- 8, 96.4)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H West Springfield       19- 6      13    11           0.00
   405 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 4       6     3    +      2.86
   409 A Agawam                 16- 0      16    15           0.00
   413 H Cathedral Springfield  16- 2      14    12           0.00
   417 H Northampton             7- 5       2     7    --    -5.79
   419 A Minnechaug             11- 6       5     2    +      2.25
   421 A Pinkerton              14- 9       5     2          n/a  
   426 H East Longmeadow        11- 3       8     6           1.26
   428 H Algonquin               8- 9  o   -1     0          n/a  
   430 H Westfield               9- 8       1     5    --    -4.93
   502 H South Hadley            7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.21
   504 A West Springfield       17- 7      10    10           0.00
   506 A Medfield                7-12      -5     5          n/a  
   508 H Amherst-Pelham          7-15      -8     4    ---  -12.63
   512 H Weston                  9- 8 2o    1    11          n/a  
   514 A Northampton            10- 6       4     6    -     -2.31
   516 H St Johns Shrewsbury    12- 5       7     4          n/a  
   518 H Minnechaug             15- 6       9     4    ++     4.76
   521 A South Hadley            9- 8       1     0           0.28
   524 A Westfield               4- 3       1     4    -     -3.45
   605 H Northampton            10- 7       3     7    --    -4.79
   607 N Minnechaug              7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H South Hadley            7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.21
   506 A Medfield                7-12      -5     5    ---        
   508 H Amherst-Pelham          7-15      -8     4    ---  -12.63
   512 H Weston                  9- 8 2o    1    11    ---        
   417 H Northampton             7- 5       2     7    --    -5.79
   430 H Westfield               9- 8       1     5    --    -4.93
   605 H Northampton            10- 7       3     7    --    -4.79
   607 N Minnechaug              7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.50
   514 A Northampton            10- 6       4     6    -     -2.31
   524 A Westfield               4- 3       1     4    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Minnechaug             15- 6       9     4    ++     4.76
   405 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 4       6     3    +      2.86
   419 A Minnechaug             11- 6       5     2    +      2.25
   421 A Pinkerton              14- 9       5     2    +          
   516 H St Johns Shrewsbury    12- 5       7     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.66 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   45.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.280.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/