Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Mike Simpson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9757156    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)    11- 5   
 324 A Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (12- 6, 89.1)    14-15   
 328 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     0-12   
 330 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     2-10   
 403 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     4-15   
 409 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)    12- 7   
 411 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    12- 3   
 412 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)     8- 5   
 417 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    18- 6   
 420 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 89.3)     4- 8   
 423 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     8-10   
 424 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 74.9)     7- 4   
 427 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)    13- 7   
 428 A Wyomissing             PA    Berks   (13- 6, 89.9)     7- 8   
 430 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     3-15   
 502 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     0- 7   
 503 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 91.0)     2-11   
 507 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    12- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 5       6     3    +      2.76
   324 A Governor Mifflin       14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   328 H Ephrata                 0-12     -12   -14           0.00
   330 H Penn Manor              2-10      -8    -6          -1.45
   403 A Hempfield               4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   409 H Conestoga Valley       12- 7       5     2    +      2.36
   411 A Garden Spot            12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   412 A Cedar Crest             8- 5       3     4          -1.65
   417 H Lancaster Mennonite    18- 6      12    17           0.00
   420 A Central Dauphin         4- 8      -4    -5           1.31
   423 H Elizabethtown           8-10      -2    -4    +      2.03
   424 A Bishop McDevitt         7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.04
   427 H Cocalico               13- 7       6     2    +      3.96
   428 A Wyomissing              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.95
   430 A Manheim Township        3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   502 A Warwick                 0- 7      -7    -6          -0.38
   503 H Trinity HS              2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.50
   507 H Garden Spot            12- 3       9    13          -1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Bishop McDevitt         7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.04
   503 H Trinity HS              2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Governor Mifflin       14-15      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   428 A Wyomissing              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.95
   323 A Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 5       6     3    +      2.76
   409 H Conestoga Valley       12- 7       5     2    +      2.36
   423 H Elizabethtown           8-10      -2    -4    +      2.03
   427 H Cocalico               13- 7       6     2    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.74 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.34 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
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