Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8234634    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     7-15   
 327 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     3-14   
 330 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 81.4)     6- 4   
 402 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     4- 8   
 405 H Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (15- 5, 82.3)    16- 4   
 409 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    10- 1   
 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)     7- 4   
 412 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 74.9)    16- 2   
 413 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)    15- 9   
 417 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)    14- 5   
 419 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     5-12   
 421 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 91.0)     9-11   
 423 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)    10- 8   
 426 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     5-10   
 428 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 84.2)    12- 2   
 501 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    15- 0   
 503 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)    14- 7   
 507 H West York              PA    York 2  (13- 7, 88.7)    11- 9   
 515 A Dallastown             PA    York 1  (20- 2, 95.4)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Manheim Township        7-15      -8    -7          -0.97
   327 A Hempfield               3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.82
   330 H Mechanicsburg           6- 4       2     8    ---   -7.00
   402 A Warwick                 4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.21
   405 H Lewisburg              16- 4      12     8           1.96
   409 H Garden Spot            10- 1       9    18          -1.00
   411 H Lampeter-Strasburg      7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.66
   412 A Bishop McDevitt        16- 2      14    13           0.00
   413 A Cocalico               15- 9       6     5           0.73
   417 H Cedar Crest            14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   419 A Ephrata                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   421 H Trinity HS              9-11      -2     0          -1.33
   423 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 8       2     4    -     -2.03
   426 H Penn Manor              5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.28
   428 H Lower Dauphin          12- 2      10     6    +      3.85
   501 H Lancaster Mennonite    15- 0      15    22           0.00
   503 A Conestoga Valley       14- 7       7     5           1.13
   507 H West York              11- 9       2     1           0.31
   515 A Dallastown              6-14      -8    -6          -1.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Mechanicsburg           6- 4       2     8    ---   -7.00
   411 H Lampeter-Strasburg      7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.66
   327 A Hempfield               3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.82
   402 A Warwick                 4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.21
   423 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 8       2     4    -     -2.03
   426 H Penn Manor              5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Ephrata                 5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   428 H Lower Dauphin          12- 2      10     6    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.39 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/