Region = VA    Patriot          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Dave Colangelo        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.2760620    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 74.1)     4-15   
 322 H Park View              VA    Dulles  ( 0-14, 61.1)    15- 1   
 323 H Trinity-Meadow View    VA 2  Indep   ( 3- 6, 75.9)     4- 5   
 328 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (13- 6, 90.7)     3-18   
 402 A Walsingham Academy     VA 2  Tidewtr ( 0-12, 74.2)     4- 1   
 405 A First Flight           NC    Indep   (11- 4, 82.9)     3-11   
 413 H West Potomac           VA    Patriot ( 4- 8, 77.6)     4-10   
 417 A Lake Braddock          VA    Patriot ( 6- 9, 84.2)     4-15   
 419 A Annandale              VA    Patriot (10- 8, 90.6)     1-19   
 423 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 3-12, 77.6)     2- 9   
 427 H South County           VA    Patriot (13- 3, 95.6)     3-25   
 430 A West Springfield       VA    Patriot ( 8- 8, 89.7)     0-19   
 502 A Woodson                VA    Patriot (13- 4, 97.6)     0-16   
 504 H South County           VA    Patriot (13- 3, 95.6)     1-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A J.E.B. Stuart           4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.59
   322 H Park View              15- 1      14     9          n/a  
   323 H Trinity-Meadow View     4- 5      -1    -4          n/a  
   328 H Edison                  3-18     -15   -20           0.00
   402 A Walsingham Academy      4- 1       3    -4          n/a  
   405 A First Flight            3-11      -8   -13          n/a  
   413 H West Potomac            4-10      -6    -6           0.87
   417 A Lake Braddock           4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   419 A Annandale               1-19     -18   -20           0.00
   423 H T.C. Williams           2- 9      -7    -6          -0.09
   427 H South County            3-25     -22   -24           0.00
   430 A West Springfield        0-19     -19   -20           0.00
   502 A Woodson                 0-16     -16   -27           0.00
   504 H South County            1-16     -15   -24           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A J.E.B. Stuart           4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Walsingham Academy      4- 1       3    -4    +++        
   323 H Trinity-Meadow View     4- 5      -1    -4    +          
   405 A First Flight            3-11      -8   -13    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.17 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.25 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -16.7
/