Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Brian Martin          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2266464    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 9- 8, 77.4)     9- 4   
 407 A Bishop Hendricken      RI 1  Div-1   ( 7- 6, 89.9)     4- 7   
 410 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 67.6)    14- 2   
 412 A Stonington             CT S          (13- 6, 81.9)     2- 3 2o
 414 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     2- 8   
 417 H Waterford              CT M          (10- 7, 78.0)    12- 6   
 419 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-14, 55.9)    17- 4   
 424 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-11, 70.4)    10- 5   
 426 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 61.5)    16- 2   
 428 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     5- 8   
 501 H Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 7-10, 71.0)    14- 2   
 503 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 67.6)    13- 4   
 508 H Stonington             CT S          (13- 6, 81.9)     4- 8   
 510 A Waterford              CT M          (10- 7, 78.0)     5-12   
 515 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-14, 55.9)    14- 2   
 517 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11-10, 82.6)     5- 7   
 523 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     6- 8   
 530 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 9- 8, 77.4)     7- 6   
 602 A Joel Barlow            CT S          (18- 3, 96.0)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Northwest Catholic      9- 4       5     2    +      2.01
   407 A Bishop Hendricken       4- 7      -3   -11          n/a  
   410 H Saint Bernard          14- 2      12    12           0.00
   412 A Stonington              2- 3 2o   -1    -3    +      2.49
   414 A Guilford                2- 8      -6    -7           1.06
   417 H Waterford              12- 6       6     2    +      3.59
   419 A Wheeler-No Stonington  17- 4      13    22           0.00
   424 H Fitch-Groton           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.93
   426 A Woodstock Academy      16- 2      14    16           0.00
   428 A East Lyme               5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   501 H Bacon Academy          14- 2      12     9           0.65
   503 A Saint Bernard          13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   508 H Stonington              4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.44
   510 A Waterford               5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.49
   515 H Wheeler-No Stonington  14- 2      12    24           0.00
   517 H Daniel Hand-Madison     5- 7      -2    -2           0.25
   523 A East Lyme               6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.45
   530 H Northwest Catholic      7- 6       1     2          -1.99
   602 A Joel Barlow             2-14     -12   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Waterford               5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.49
   424 H Fitch-Groton           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.93
   508 H Stonington              4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Bishop Hendricken       4- 7      -3   -11    +++        
   428 A East Lyme               5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   523 A East Lyme               6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.45
   404 H Northwest Catholic      9- 4       5     2    +      2.01
   412 A Stonington              2- 3 2o   -1    -3    +      2.49
   417 H Waterford              12- 6       6     2    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.41 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.79 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/