Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5137100    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 93.7)    14- 5   
 317 H Hill Academy           CN    Indep   (10- 3, 97.3)     6- 7   
 322 H Calverton              MD    MILL    (17- 2, 95.3)    10-11   
 323 N Haverford School       PA    IAC     (21- 2, 99.9)     5- 4   
 328 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.6)     7- 4   
 330 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (12- 4, 96.0)     4-10   
 402 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (10- 7, 91.8)     7- 8   
 405 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (14- 4, 93.4)     6- 7   
 407 H Coronado               CA    City    (18- 4, 96.4)     8- 2   
 411 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (15- 6, 95.5)     8- 4   
 414 H Robinson               VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 92.7)    12- 5   
 416 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    ( 8-10, 87.3)    10- 6   
 420 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (15- 6, 95.0)     8- 6   
 425 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (10-12, 87.3)     4- 0   
 427 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.3)     8- 0   
 501 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (12- 9, 89.8)     9- 6   
 504 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 1, 99.9)     5- 7   
 509 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (15- 6, 95.5)     6- 4   
 512 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (14- 4, 93.4)     7- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Oakton                 14- 5       9     0          n/a  
   317 H Hill Academy            6- 7      -1    -2          n/a  
   322 H Calverton              10-11      -1     0          n/a  
   323 N Haverford School        5- 4       1    -5          n/a  
   328 A DeMatha                 7- 4       3     4          n/a  
   330 A Gilman                  4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.20
   402 A St Mary's Annapolis     7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.44
   405 H Bullis                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.53
   407 H Coronado                8- 2       6    -1          n/a  
   411 A Georgetown Prep         8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.22
   414 H Robinson               12- 5       7     2          n/a  
   416 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  10- 6       4     7          n/a  
   420 A St Stephen/St Agnes     8- 6       2    -1    +      3.81
   425 A St Albans               4- 0       4     5          -1.89
   427 A Paul VI                 8- 0       8     2          n/a  
   501 H Episcopal HS            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.05
   504 H Gonzaga                 5- 7      -2    -5          n/a  
   509 H Georgetown Prep         6- 4       2     0    +      2.57
   512 A Bullis                  7- 4       3     0    +      3.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Gilman                  4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.20
   402 A St Mary's Annapolis     7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.44
   405 H Bullis                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.53
   416 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  10- 6       4     7    -          
   501 H Episcopal HS            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Oakton                 14- 5       9     0    +++        
   323 N Haverford School        5- 4       1    -5    +++        
   407 H Coronado                8- 2       6    -1    +++        
   411 A Georgetown Prep         8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.22
   414 H Robinson               12- 5       7     2    ++         
   427 A Paul VI                 8- 0       8     2    ++         
   420 A St Stephen/St Agnes     8- 6       2    -1    +      3.81
   504 H Gonzaga                 5- 7      -2    -5    +          
   509 H Georgetown Prep         6- 4       2     0    +      2.57
   512 A Bullis                  7- 4       3     0    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.06 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.31 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/