Conf =  Gibbs                     Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Kevin Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5285492    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Northern Highlands     NJ    Grp-II  ( 8-10, 81.4)     8- 0   
 403 H Morristown             NJ    Grp-III (13- 9, 86.2)     6- 5  o
 405 H Ramapo                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-10, 80.7)     6- 8   
 407 H Bernards               NJ    Grp-I   (14- 7, 84.3)    12- 4   
 410 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 91.7)     5- 7   
 412 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 1, 96.9)     6-12   
 415 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 85.4)     8- 7  o
 417 A Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 9, 86.2)     5- 8   
 421 A Byram Hills            NY C  Sec 1   (12- 5, 93.5)     9- 4   
 425 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 91.1)     6-13   
 428 A Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (13- 6, 92.6)    11-13   
 501 A Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III (17- 8, 91.5)     4-12   
 503 H Madison                NJ    Grp-I   ( 7-11, 81.3)     6- 8   
 505 H Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 79.7)     7- 2   
 508 H Randolph               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-13, 76.3)    13- 2   
 510 A Mount Olive            NJ    Grp-III (17- 3, 88.1)    14- 9   
 512 A Chatham                NJ    Grp-II  (16- 8, 90.7)    10- 9   
 516 N Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 91.1)     4-12   
 519 H Middle Township        NJ    Grp-I   (10- 7, 74.9)    13- 4   
 522 H Bernards               NJ    Grp-I   (14- 7, 84.3)    14- 8   
 524 A Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 91.7)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Northern Highlands      8- 0       8     2    ++     5.46
   403 H Morristown              6- 5  o    1     1          -0.01
   405 H Ramapo                  6- 8      -2     6    ---   -8.55
   407 H Bernards               12- 4       8     2    ++     5.04
   410 H Glen Ridge              5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.53
   412 H Don Bosco Prep          6-12      -6    -9    +      3.73
   415 A Bergen Catholic         8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.48
   417 A Montclair               5- 8      -3    -2          -0.80
   421 A Byram Hills             9- 4       5    -9          n/a  
   425 H Mountain Lakes          6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.14
   428 A Lafayette              11-13      -2    -8          n/a  
   501 A Ridgewood               4-12      -8    -7          -0.46
   503 H Madison                 6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.92
   505 H Holmdel                 7- 2       5     7    -     -2.47
   508 H Randolph               13- 2      11    10           0.00
   510 A Mount Olive            14- 9       5    -4    +++    9.15
   512 A Chatham                10- 9       1    -6    +++    7.70
   516 N Mountain Lakes          4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.51
   519 H Middle Township        13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   522 H Bernards               14- 8       6     2    +      3.04
   524 A Glen Ridge              7-14      -7    -7           0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Ramapo                  6- 8      -2     6    ---   -8.55
   503 H Madison                 6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.92
   425 H Mountain Lakes          6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.14
   505 H Holmdel                 7- 2       5     7    -     -2.47
   516 N Mountain Lakes          4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Byram Hills             9- 4       5    -9    +++        
   428 A Lafayette              11-13      -2    -8    +++        
   510 A Mount Olive            14- 9       5    -4    +++    9.15
   512 A Chatham                10- 9       1    -6    +++    7.70
   331 A Northern Highlands      8- 0       8     2    ++     5.46
   407 H Bernards               12- 4       8     2    ++     5.04
   410 H Glen Ridge              5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.53
   412 H Don Bosco Prep          6-12      -6    -9    +      3.73
   415 A Bergen Catholic         8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.48
   522 H Bernards               14- 8       6     2    +      3.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.59 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.48 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/