Region = NC    Conf-04          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8512573    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     6- 5   
 307 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 9, 72.0)    14- 5   
 309 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 2-12, 64.1)    17- 1   
 315 A Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  ( 9-10, 87.1)     9- 8   
 316 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 9, 72.0)    18- 5   
 319 H W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-03 ( 6- 9, 75.0)    12- 3   
 323 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 7-10, 76.7)    12- 6   
 326 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 7, 84.9)    11- 7   
 329 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)     8- 6   
 330 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-10, 69.0)    14- 3   
 402 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 0-16, 62.3)    19- 4   
 417 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 0-16, 62.3)    14- 0   
 418 A NorthWest Guilford     NC    Conf-07 (12- 5, 89.4)    10-11   
 420 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 7-10, 76.7)    16- 3   
 423 A Wakefield              NC    Conf-03 ( 8- 9, 76.4)    11- 4   
 426 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-10, 69.0)    17- 4   
 504 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 8, 81.3)     9-10 3o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Chapel Hill             6- 5       1     0           1.20
   307 H J.F. Webb              14- 5       9    16          -1.00
   309 A Hillsborough Orange    17- 1      16    23           0.00
   315 A Durham Academy          9- 8       1     0          n/a  
   316 A J.F. Webb              18- 5      13    16           0.00
   319 H W.G. Enloe             12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   323 H Durham Riverside       12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   326 A East Chapel Hill       11- 7       4     3           0.86
   329 H Panther Creek           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.86
   330 A Roxboro Community Sch  14- 3      11    19           0.00
   402 A Northern Durham        19- 4      15    25           0.00
   417 H Northern Durham        14- 0      14    26           0.00
   418 A NorthWest Guilford     10-11      -1    -1           0.32
   420 A Durham Riverside       16- 3      13    11           0.00
   423 A Wakefield              11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   426 H Roxboro Community Sch  17- 4      13    19           0.00
   504 H Carrboro                9-10 3o   -1     7    ---   -8.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Carrboro                9-10 3o   -1     7    ---   -8.52
   323 H Durham Riverside       12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   329 H Panther Creek           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.86
   423 A Wakefield              11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.42 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.51 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/