Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nick Worek            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3815918    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H South County           VA    Patriot (13- 3, 95.6)     6-15   
 316 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 79.4)    11- 4   
 320 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 74.1)    17- 7   
 322 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 7- 9, 81.0)     6- 2   
 326 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-10, 83.6)    11- 7   
 328 A Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 8- 7, 92.6)     7-14   
 417 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 7- 6, 89.1)     8- 7  o
 420 H Fairfax                VA    Liberty ( 3- 9, 83.0)     6- 5 3o
 425 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 1-14, 77.3)    17- 6   
 427 A Langley                VA    Liberty (22- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 502 A Madison                VA    Liberty (12- 6, 95.2)     3-16   
 504 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 7- 6, 89.1)     5- 3   
 508 A Langley                VA    Liberty (22- 2, 99.9)     5-14   
 516 A Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 93.7)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H South County            6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.11
   316 H Hayfield               11- 4       7     9    -     -2.37
   320 H J.E.B. Stuart          17- 7      10    14           0.00
   322 H Washington-Lee          6- 2       4     7    -     -3.69
   326 A McLean                 11- 7       4     4          -0.05
   328 A Stone Bridge            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.15
   417 H South Lakes             8- 7  o    1     0           1.34
   420 H Fairfax                 6- 5 3o    1     5    --    -4.72
   425 A Marshall               17- 6      11    10           0.00
   427 A Langley                 4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   502 A Madison                 3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.49
   504 H South Lakes             5- 3       2     0    +      2.34
   508 A Langley                 5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   516 A Oakton                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Fairfax                 6- 5 3o    1     5    --    -4.72
   314 H South County            6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.11
   316 H Hayfield               11- 4       7     9    -     -2.37
   322 H Washington-Lee          6- 2       4     7    -     -3.69
   328 A Stone Bridge            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.15
   502 A Madison                 3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Oakton                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.03
   504 H South Lakes             5- 3       2     0    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.21 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.02 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/