Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0414276    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 86.7)     3-10   
 324 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 77.6)     4-10   
 327 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     0-18   
 403 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 70.7)    10- 5   
 405 H Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 87.6)     3- 9   
 417 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 84.0)    10-11   
 419 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     0-13   
 420 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)     4-16   
 424 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.6)     7-16   
 426 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 76.7)     8- 7   
 430 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 74.1)     8- 2   
 503 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.5)    20-10   
 504 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 6, 81.3)     7- 6   
 508 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)    14- 7   
 510 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)    18- 6   
 515 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)    12- 8   
 518 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.5)    17- 6   
 522 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.6)    13-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Oswego                  3-10      -7    -7          n/a  
   324 A Central Square          4-10      -6     1          n/a  
   327 A Hamburg                 0-18     -18   -20           0.00
   403 A Grand Island           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.03
   405 H Amherst Central         3- 9      -6    -5          -0.16
   417 H Lake Shore Central     10-11      -1    -2           1.28
   419 A Niagara Wheatfield      0-13     -13   -14           0.00
   420 A Nichols                 4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.70
   424 H West Seneca East        7-16      -9     0    ---   -8.12
   426 A West Seneca West        8- 7       1     3    -     -2.09
   430 A Sweet Home              8- 2       6     5           0.37
   503 H North Tonawanda        20-10      10    15           0.00
   504 H East Aurora             7- 6       1     0           0.53
   508 H Williamsville North    14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.62
   510 A Williamsville South    18- 6      12     7    +      2.03
   515 H Williamsville East     12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.70
   518 H North Tonawanda        17- 6      11    15           0.00
   522 A West Seneca East       13-15      -2    -2           0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Central Square          4-10      -6     1    ---        
   424 H West Seneca East        7-16      -9     0    ---   -8.12
   403 A Grand Island           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.03
   420 A Nichols                 4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.70
   426 A West Seneca West        8- 7       1     3    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Williamsville North    14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.62
   515 H Williamsville East     12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.70
   510 A Williamsville South    18- 6      12     7    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.76 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.14 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/