Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Mustangs             Coach  =   Ted Lutz              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.1284180    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 8-10, 71.0)     7- 9   
 407 H Danbury                CT L          ( 3-13, 70.2)     4-13   
 409 A Bethel                 CT S          (13- 7, 80.5)     6-17   
 412 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 8- 9, 71.6)     2-10   
 413 A Watertown              CT S          ( 3-11, 61.0)    12- 4   
 417 H Stratford              CT M          ( 6-10, 67.8)     6- 7   
 419 A Pomperaug              CT M          (10-10, 76.8)     3-16   
 424 A New Milford            CT L          ( 7-11, 80.1)     1-20   
 427 A Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 2-14, 58.0)    13- 7   
 430 H Stamford               CT L          ( 5-11, 76.3)     2-13   
 507 H Watertown              CT S          ( 3-11, 61.0)    13- 1   
 509 A Newtown                CT L          (15- 5, 88.7)     1-15   
 515 A Weston                 CT S          (17- 5, 89.6)     3-17   
 516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S          ( 6-10, 64.7)    11- 6   
 519 A Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 6-10, 69.4)    12- 4   
 521 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.0)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    7- 9      -2    -2           0.46
   407 H Danbury                 4-13      -9    -1    ---   -7.29
   409 A Bethel                  6-17     -11   -13           0.00
   412 A Bunnell-Stratford       2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.95
   413 A Watertown              12- 4       8     5    +      2.41
   417 H Stratford               6- 7      -1     0          -1.66
   419 A Pomperaug               3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   424 A New Milford             1-20     -19   -13           0.00
   427 A Housatonic Valley      13- 7       6     8    -     -2.54
   430 H Stamford                2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.23
   507 H Watertown              13- 1      12     7    +      2.48
   509 A Newtown                 1-15     -14   -22           0.00
   515 A Weston                  3-17     -14   -22           0.00
   516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 11- 6       5     1    +      3.08
   519 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8    -2    +++   10.78
   521 H Brookfield              5-14      -9   -12           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Danbury                 4-13      -9    -1    ---   -7.29
   412 A Bunnell-Stratford       2-10      -8    -5    -     -2.95
   427 A Housatonic Valley      13- 7       6     8    -     -2.54
   430 H Stamford                2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8    -2    +++   10.78
   413 A Watertown              12- 4       8     5    +      2.41
   507 H Watertown              13- 1      12     7    +      2.48
   516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 11- 6       5     1    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.54 Local Power Rank...........    68
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.85 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    62
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/