Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordie Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3644943    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   (11- 6, 85.4)    12-11   
 327 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 67.5)    17-12   
 329 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 75.9)    13- 5   
 403 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     4-11   
 405 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (15- 6, 95.5)     5-19   
 411 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)    11-10   
 413 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 98.2)     5-15   
 417 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 419 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.6)    12- 6   
 423 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.8)    16- 9   
 425 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)    14- 7   
 428 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)     7-11   
 502 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 91.9)     6-14   
 504 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.8)    10- 7   
 507 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.0)     6- 7   
 510 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 69.0)    17- 8   
 517 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)    13- 6   
 522 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Plainedge              12-11       1     0          n/a  
   327 A Brentwood              17-12       5    17    --    -5.00
   329 A Patchogue-Medford      13- 5       8     8          -0.87
   403 H West Islip              4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
   405 A Georgetown Prep         5-19     -14   -10          n/a  
   411 H East Islip             11-10       1     5    --    -4.81
   413 A Ward Melville           5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   417 H Smithtown West          4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   419 A Walt Whitman           12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.84
   423 H William Floyd          16- 9       7     9    -     -2.70
   425 H Connetquot             14- 7       7     7          -0.33
   428 A Sachem East             7-11      -4     0    -     -3.24
   502 H Northport               6-14      -8    -6          -1.66
   504 A Half Hollow Hills West 10- 7       3     1           1.02
   507 A Sachem North            6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.22
   510 H Copiague               17- 8       9    16          -1.00
   517 A Sachem East            13- 6       7     0    +++    7.76
   522 A Smithtown West          4-18     -14   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Brentwood              17-12       5    17    --    -5.00
   411 H East Islip             11-10       1     5    --    -4.81
   423 H William Floyd          16- 9       7     9    -     -2.70
   428 A Sachem East             7-11      -4     0    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Walt Whitman           12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.84
   517 A Sachem East            13- 6       7     0    +++    7.76
   507 A Sachem North            6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.22
   403 H West Islip              4-11      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.16 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.37 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/