Holy Family Catholic          4 - 8


 
   Conf =  Sec6                      Region = MN 1  Indep            
   Nickname = N Fire                 Coach  =   Mike Livingston       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.4224930    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Chaska-Chanhassen      MN 1  Missota ( 5-10, 81.1)     3- 8   
 412 A Buffalo                MN 1  Indep   ( 2-10, 72.7)    12- 3   
 413 A Orono                  MN 1  Indep   (12- 3, 88.5)     5-10   
 420 A Hopkins                MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 9, 83.5)     4-11   
 424 A Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 1-13, 77.5)     5-10   
 426 A Owatonna               MN 1  Big9    ( 5- 9, 77.9)    10- 3   
 430 A Simley                 MN 1  Classic ( 1-11, 70.5)    16- 6   
 504 A Armstrong              MN 1  NoWest  (11- 4, 89.8)    11-17   
 507 A Blake                  MN 1  Indep   ( 8- 8, 88.5)     2-18   
 510 H Buffalo                MN 1  Indep   ( 2-10, 72.7)    13- 5   
 512 H Minneapolis Inner City MN 1  Indep   ( 6- 8, 79.9)     7- 9   
 522 A Chaska-Chanhassen      MN 1  Missota ( 5-10, 81.1)     4- 5  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Chaska-Chanhassen       3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.38
   412 A Buffalo                12- 3       9     5    +      3.20
   413 A Orono                   5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.95
   420 A Hopkins                 4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.05
   424 A Breck                   5-10      -5     0    --    -5.98
   426 A Owatonna               10- 3       7     0    +++    6.39
   430 A Simley                 16- 6      10     7    +      2.04
   504 A Armstrong              11-17      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   507 A Blake                   2-18     -16    -9          -0.03
   510 H Buffalo                13- 5       8     8          -0.15
   512 H Minneapolis Inner City  7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.98
   522 A Chaska-Chanhassen       4- 5  o   -1    -2           1.62


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Breck                   5-10      -5     0    --    -5.98
   410 A Chaska-Chanhassen       3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.38
   420 A Hopkins                 4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.05
   512 H Minneapolis Inner City  7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.98


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Owatonna               10- 3       7     0    +++    6.39
   413 A Orono                   5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.95
   504 A Armstrong              11-17      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   412 A Buffalo                12- 3       9     5    +      3.20
   430 A Simley                 16- 6      10     7    +      2.04




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.68 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.43 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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