Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Dave Ondrusek         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3826752    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)    12- 3   
 324 H Easton                 PA    LehighV ( 8-11, 81.3)    14- 5   
 327 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)    14- 3   
 330 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     4-13   
 331 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (16- 6, 97.0)     8- 7   
 401 H Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 (17- 2, 99.9)     5- 8   
 403 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)    15- 4   
 405 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    14- 0   
 410 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)    13- 7   
 412 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)     9- 7   
 414 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 95.5)     9- 8   
 419 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)    16- 6   
 421 H Owen J Roberts         PA    PAC-10  (14- 7, 90.4)    11- 7   
 423 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     6- 5   
 426 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)    14- 4   
 428 A Pennsbury              PA    SubNat  (17- 3, 94.7)     6-14   
 430 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    18- 3   
 502 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)    10-15   
 509 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     7- 9   
 515 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks   (13- 6, 89.9)    17- 9   
 517 N Dallastown             PA    York 1  (20- 2, 95.4)    12- 6   
 522 N Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 524 N Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)    10-11   
 530 N Conestoga              PA    Centrl  (23- 3, 99.7)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Penn Manor             12- 3       9     2    +++    6.34
   324 H Easton                 14- 5       9    13          n/a  
   327 H Elizabethtown          14- 3      11     5    ++     4.82
   330 A Ephrata                 4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.25
   331 H Carlisle                8- 7       1    -2    +      3.26
   401 H Seneca Valley           5- 8      -3    -5          n/a  
   403 H Lancaster Cou Day      15- 4      11    10           0.00
   405 H Lancaster Mennonite    14- 0      14    27           0.00
   410 A Cocalico               13- 7       6     9    -     -3.65
   412 A Conestoga Valley        9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   414 A Cumberland Valley       9- 8       1    -2    +      3.30
   419 A Cedar Crest            16- 6      10    13           0.00
   421 H Owen J Roberts         11- 7       4     4          n/a  
   423 H Warwick                 6- 5       1     4    -     -3.18
   426 H Lampeter-Strasburg     14- 4      10    14           0.00
   428 A Pennsbury               6-14      -8    -1          n/a  
   430 A Garden Spot            18- 3      15    21           0.00
   502 H Manheim Township       10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.94
   509 H Ephrata                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.15
   515 H Wyomissing             17- 9       8     4    +      3.14
   517 N Dallastown             12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.45
   522 N Ephrata                 6-13      -7    -5          -1.05
   524 N Manheim Township       10-11      -1    -1           0.85
   530 N Conestoga               4- 9      -5    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Conestoga Valley        9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   428 A Pennsbury               6-14      -8    -1    ---        
   330 A Ephrata                 4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.25
   410 A Cocalico               13- 7       6     9    -     -3.65
   423 H Warwick                 6- 5       1     4    -     -3.18
   502 H Manheim Township       10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Penn Manor             12- 3       9     2    +++    6.34
   517 N Dallastown             12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.45
   327 H Elizabethtown          14- 3      11     5    ++     4.82
   331 H Carlisle                8- 7       1    -2    +      3.26
   401 H Seneca Valley           5- 8      -3    -5    +          
   414 A Cumberland Valley       9- 8       1    -2    +      3.30
   509 H Ephrata                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.15
   515 H Wyomissing             17- 9       8     4    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.95 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.05 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/