Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3064575    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Calverton              MD    MILL    (17- 2, 95.3)     6- 9   
 317 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (15- 6, 95.5)     4- 9   
 320 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (14- 4, 93.4)     8-14   
 323 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (14- 5, 94.5)     8-14   
 326 A Sherwood               MD 43 West    (13- 3, 90.5)     9- 5   
 328 A Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    (12- 8, 91.2)     4-10   
 403 A St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (19- 4, 98.1)     9-13   
 410 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 5-15, 75.9)    16- 0   
 411 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 9, 89.7)     8- 7 2o
 416 A Landon                 DC    IAC     (13- 6, 94.1)     6-10   
 417 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 81.7)    11- 7   
 420 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.3)     7- 8   
 424 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 1, 99.9)     2-14   
 427 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.6)     8- 7   
 501 A Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 2-12, 66.8)    18- 2   
 503 H Urbana                 MD 43 North   ( 9- 7, 89.5)     8- 4   
 508 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.3)     7- 6   
 510 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 1, 99.9)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Calverton               6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.00
   317 H Georgetown Prep         4- 9      -5    -7          n/a  
   320 H Bullis                  8-14      -6    -5          n/a  
   323 H St Marys Ryken          8-14      -6    -7           1.16
   326 A Sherwood                9- 5       4    -3          n/a  
   328 A Mount St Joseph         4-10      -6    -4          n/a  
   403 A St Anne's-Belfield      9-13      -4   -11          n/a  
   410 H Bishop Ireton          16- 0      16    11           0.00
   411 A St Johns DC             8- 7 2o    1    -2    +      3.41
   416 A Landon                  6-10      -4    -7          n/a  
   417 H Bishop O'Connell       11- 7       4     5          -1.61
   420 A Paul VI                 7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.01
   424 H Gonzaga                 2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   427 A DeMatha                 8- 7       1    -2    +      3.31
   501 A Bishop McNamara        18- 2      16    20           0.00
   503 H Urbana                  8- 4       4    -1          n/a  
   508 A Paul VI                 7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.01
   510 A Gonzaga                 4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Sherwood                9- 5       4    -3    +++        
   403 A St Anne's-Belfield      9-13      -4   -11    +++        
   313 H Calverton               6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.00
   503 H Urbana                  8- 4       4    -1    ++         
   508 A Paul VI                 7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.01
   510 A Gonzaga                 4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   317 H Georgetown Prep         4- 9      -5    -7    +          
   411 A St Johns DC             8- 7 2o    1    -2    +      3.41
   416 A Landon                  6-10      -4    -7    +          
   420 A Paul VI                 7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.01
   427 A DeMatha                 8- 7       1    -2    +      3.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.31 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.95 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/