Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9027863    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Ellington              CT S          ( 6-10, 70.8)     4- 2   
 407 H South Windsor          CT L          ( 6-10, 75.0)     7- 6  o
 410 A Avon HS                CT M          (17- 3, 86.0)     3- 9   
 413 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 8- 9, 75.4)    12- 9   
 416 A Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 2-14, 58.0)    14- 1   
 420 A Canton                 CT S          ( 1-15, 57.8)    14- 1   
 421 H Tolland                CT S          ( 7-10, 71.1)    12- 3   
 424 H Somers                 CT S          (15- 5, 81.6)     5- 4   
 427 A Ellington              CT S          ( 6-10, 70.8)     8- 6   
 430 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 8- 9, 75.4)     9- 7   
 504 H Avon HS                CT M          (17- 3, 86.0)     6- 5   
 507 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 9- 8, 77.4)    10-11   
 510 H Canton                 CT S          ( 1-15, 57.8)     9- 1   
 511 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 9- 8, 79.3)     8- 9   
 517 A Somers                 CT S          (15- 5, 81.6)     8- 4   
 521 A Newington              CT L          ( 9- 9, 76.5)     7- 6   
 524 N Avon HS                CT M          (17- 3, 86.0)     3-12   
 604 H Bethel                 CT S          (13- 7, 80.5)    12-11   
 606 N Somers                 CT S          (15- 5, 81.6)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Ellington               4- 2       2    10    ---   -8.00
   407 H South Windsor           7- 6  o    1     5    --    -4.86
   410 A Avon HS                 3- 9      -6    -7           1.08
   413 A Suffield HS            12- 9       3     3          -0.49
   416 A Housatonic Valley      14- 1      13    20           0.00
   420 A Canton                 14- 1      13    21           0.00
   421 H Tolland                12- 3       9     9          -0.71
   424 H Somers                  5- 4       1     0           1.74
   427 A Ellington               8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.08
   430 H Suffield HS             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.42
   504 H Avon HS                 6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.15
   507 A Northwest Catholic     10-11      -1     1    -     -2.51
   510 H Canton                  9- 1       8    22    -     -2.00
   511 A Hall-West Hartford      8- 9      -1     0          -0.59
   517 A Somers                  8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.67
   521 A Newington               7- 6       1     2          -1.37
   524 N Avon HS                 3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.89
   604 H Bethel                 12-11       1     0           0.64
   606 N Somers                  9-10      -1    -1           0.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Ellington               4- 2       2    10    ---   -8.00
   427 A Ellington               8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.08
   407 H South Windsor           7- 6  o    1     5    --    -4.86
   430 H Suffield HS             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.42
   507 A Northwest Catholic     10-11      -1     1    -     -2.51
   510 H Canton                  9- 1       8    22    -     -2.00
   524 N Avon HS                 3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Avon HS                 6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.15
   517 A Somers                  8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.86 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.26 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/