Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0847473    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.2)     4-17   
 331 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     8-11   
 404 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)     7- 8   
 418 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.8)    13- 0   
 421 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)    12- 4   
 423 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.4)    12-11  o
 425 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.8)     5-15   
 428 A Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 87.6)     4- 6   
 502 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)     4- 7   
 507 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.8)    10- 4   
 509 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.4)     7- 6   
 512 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.9)     6-22   
 514 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.8)     8-12   
 516 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 59.2)    14- 1   
 519 H Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)    17- 0   
 525 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Pittsford               4-17     -13    -8          n/a  
   331 H Williamsville North     8-11      -3     1    --    -4.36
   404 A Clarence                7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.78
   418 H Lockport               13- 0      13    10           0.00
   421 A Williamsville South    12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   423 H Lancaster              12-11  o    1     1          -0.29
   425 A Orchard Park            5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   428 A Amherst Central         4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.85
   502 H Clarence                4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.79
   507 A Lockport               10- 4       6     8    -     -2.96
   509 A Lancaster               7- 6       1     0           1.69
   512 A Silver Creek            6-22     -16   -15           0.00
   514 H Orchard Park            8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.06
   516 H Gowanda Central        14- 1      13    25           0.00
   519 H Erie Cathedral Prep    17- 0      17     6          n/a  
   525 A Clarence                6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Williamsville North     8-11      -3     1    --    -4.36
   421 A Williamsville South    12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   507 A Lockport               10- 4       6     8    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Clarence                7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.78
   514 H Orchard Park            8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.06
   525 A Clarence                6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.78
   428 A Amherst Central         4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.85
   502 H Clarence                4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.79
   519 H Erie Cathedral Prep    17- 0      17     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.73 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.61 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0
/