Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Ed Moy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8323898    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Wellesley              MA 2          (20- 4, 95.2)     4-11   
 411 H Weymouth               MA 1          ( 6-10, 78.1)    13- 6   
 414 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)    11-15   
 417 H Dover                  NH 2          ( 7-11, 81.6)    11- 3   
 419 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 7-11, 80.4)    13- 2   
 425 A Natick                 MA 1          ( 7- 9, 78.8)     8- 3   
 427 H Needham                MA 1          (16- 6, 93.4)     4-12   
 430 A Dedham                 MA 3          ( 3-15, 66.6)    17- 2   
 502 A Newton North           MA 1          (14- 6, 88.6)     7- 8   
 507 A Milton                 MA 2          ( 3-15, 72.6)    15- 5   
 509 A Braintree              MA 1          ( 9-10, 80.1)    13- 9   
 511 A Foxborough             MA 2          (16- 4, 88.4)     3- 4   
 512 H Shrewsbury             MA 2          (11- 9, 91.9)     7- 5   
 514 H Norwood                MA 2          (14- 6, 87.3)     9- 3   
 516 H Walpole                MA 2          ( 7-12, 82.0)     7- 1   
 521 A Brookline              MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.2)    14- 1   
 530 A Marshfield             MA 1          (11- 9, 84.4)     7- 6   
 601 A Duxbury                MA 1          (23- 2, 99.9)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Wellesley               4-11      -7    -7           0.31
   411 H Weymouth               13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   414 A Acton Boxborough       11-15      -4    -7    +      3.55
   417 H Dover                  11- 3       8     8          n/a  
   419 H Newton South           13- 2      11     9           0.36
   425 A Natick                  8- 3       5     9    --    -4.17
   427 H Needham                 4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.64
   430 A Dedham                 17- 2      15    21           0.00
   502 A Newton North            7- 8      -1     0          -0.32
   507 A Milton                 15- 5      10    15           0.00
   509 A Braintree              13- 9       4     7    -     -3.81
   511 A Foxborough              3- 4      -1     0          -0.57
   512 H Shrewsbury              7- 5       2    -1          n/a  
   514 H Norwood                 9- 3       6     2    +      3.22
   516 H Walpole                 7- 1       6     8    -     -2.02
   521 A Brookline              14- 1      13    10           0.00
   530 A Marshfield              7- 6       1     3    -     -2.56
   601 A Duxbury                 3-16     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Natick                  8- 3       5     9    --    -4.17
   427 H Needham                 4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.64
   411 H Weymouth               13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   509 A Braintree              13- 9       4     7    -     -3.81
   516 H Walpole                 7- 1       6     8    -     -2.02
   530 A Marshfield              7- 6       1     3    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Acton Boxborough       11-15      -4    -7    +      3.55
   512 H Shrewsbury              7- 5       2    -1    +          
   514 H Norwood                 9- 3       6     2    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.00 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.97 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/