Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Hicks           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.0631714    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Waterford              CT M          (10- 7, 78.0)     6- 9   
 407 H Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    11-16   
 410 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 61.5)     9- 7   
 412 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     2-11   
 414 H RHAM                   CT M          (11- 7, 77.7)     7- 8   
 417 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (14- 5, 81.8)     5- 7   
 419 A Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 7-10, 71.0)    11- 5   
 424 A Ledyard                CT S          (10- 9, 79.4)     5-10   
 426 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-14, 55.9)    15- 0   
 428 A Valley Regional        CT S          ( 6-10, 68.1)     4- 9   
 503 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 61.5)    14- 5   
 504 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 67.6)     8- 9   
 508 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     6-10   
 510 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (14- 5, 81.8)     3-16   
 517 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 6-10, 73.8)     8-18   
 519 H Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 7-10, 71.0)    13- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Waterford               6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.55
   407 H Branford               11-16      -5    -5           0.96
   410 H Woodstock Academy       9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.91
   412 A East Lyme               2-11      -9   -16           1.00
   414 H RHAM                    7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.34
   417 H Norwich Free Academy    5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   419 A Bacon Academy          11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.54
   424 A Ledyard                 5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.93
   426 H Wheeler-No Stonington  15- 0      15    15           0.00
   428 A Valley Regional         4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.41
   503 A Woodstock Academy      14- 5       9     7           1.02
   504 A Saint Bernard           8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.91
   508 H East Lyme               6-10      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   510 A Norwich Free Academy    3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   517 H Morgan-Clinton          8-18     -10    -2    ---   -7.63
   519 H Bacon Academy          13- 9       4     0    +      3.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Woodstock Academy       9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.91
   428 A Valley Regional         4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.41
   517 H Morgan-Clinton          8-18     -10    -2    ---   -7.63
   504 A Saint Bernard           8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Norwich Free Academy    5- 7      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   419 A Bacon Academy          11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.54
   508 H East Lyme               6-10      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   414 H RHAM                    7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.34
   424 A Ledyard                 5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.93
   405 H Waterford               6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.55
   519 H Bacon Academy          13- 9       4     0    +      3.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.45 Local Power Rank...........    62
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.74 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/