Region = TX 3  North            
   Nickname = X Black Bears          Coach  =   Jerry Tucker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6604767    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 A Paschal                TX 3  North   ( 1- 8, 73.1)    15- 3   
 215 H Flower Mound           TX 2  North   (14- 2, 99.9)     9-19   
 219 A Rockwall               TX 3  North   (14- 4, 89.0)    10-12   
 223 H Colleyville            TX 2  North   ( 4-14, 83.1)     6-15   
 225 A Lovejoy                TX 3  North   ( 8- 6, 84.8)    14-11   
 302 A Greenhill              TX 2  North   ( 6-13, 84.5)     9- 8   
 304 H Trinity                TX 3  North   ( 2- 6, 73.2)    17- 5   
 306 A Lake Highlands         TX 3  North   ( 0- 8, 70.1)    14- 2   
 322 A Parish Episcopal       TX 3  North   ( 5- 7, 79.9)    13-10   
 324 A Plano East             TX 2  North   ( 2-10, 80.2)    19-11   
 329 A Trinity                TX 3  North   ( 2- 6, 73.2)    14- 3   
 331 H Lovejoy                TX 3  North   ( 8- 6, 84.8)     7-13   
 401 H Paschal                TX 3  North   ( 1- 8, 73.1)    12- 3   
 405 A McKinney               TX 2  North   ( 8- 9, 87.7)     4- 9   
 412 A Parish Episcopal       TX 3  North   ( 5- 7, 79.9)    11- 3   
 414 H Rockwall               TX 3  North   (14- 4, 89.0)     9- 8 2o
 420 H Shawnee Mission East   KS    KCLL    (18- 3, 99.4)     4- 9   
 424 H Lovejoy                TX 3  North   ( 8- 6, 84.8)     9- 8   
 428 N Rockwall               TX 3  North   (14- 4, 89.0)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Paschal                15- 3      12    14           0.00
   215 H Flower Mound            9-19     -10   -12           0.00
   219 A Rockwall               10-12      -2    -1          -0.43
   223 H Colleyville             6-15      -9     4    ---  -13.49
   225 A Lovejoy                14-11       3     2           0.41
   302 A Greenhill               9- 8       1     2          -1.85
   304 H Trinity                17- 5      12    14           0.00
   306 A Lake Highlands         14- 2      12    17           0.00
   322 A Parish Episcopal       13-10       3     7    --    -4.47
   324 A Plano East             19-11       8     7           0.79
   329 A Trinity                14- 3      11    14           0.00
   331 H Lovejoy                 7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.74
   401 H Paschal                12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   405 A McKinney                4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.65
   412 A Parish Episcopal       11- 3       8     7           0.53
   414 H Rockwall                9- 8 2o    1    -1    +      2.42
   420 H Shawnee Mission East    4- 9      -5   -11          n/a  
   424 H Lovejoy                 9- 8       1     2          -1.74
   428 N Rockwall               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Colleyville             6-15      -9     4    ---  -13.49
   331 H Lovejoy                 7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.74
   322 A Parish Episcopal       13-10       3     7    --    -4.47
   405 A McKinney                4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.65
   428 N Rockwall               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Shawnee Mission East    4- 9      -5   -11    ++         
   414 H Rockwall                9- 8 2o    1    -1    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.46 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.08 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/