Region = MI 2                   
   Nickname = I Falcons              Coach  =   Phil Arkhelian        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.6741028    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Waterford              MI 1          ( 0-18, 58.2)    14- 1   
 327 A Clarkston II           MI 3  Indep   ( 6- 8, 69.2)    14- 8   
 329 H Avondale               MI 2          ( 4-12, 60.4)    15- 2   
 411 A Novi                   MI 1          (15- 5, 83.8)     7-10   
 412 A Walled Lake Northern   MI 2          ( 7-11, 70.6)    10- 2   
 416 H Rochester Adams        MI 2          (10-10, 77.1)     6- 9   
 420 H Salem                  MI 1          ( 9- 9, 77.2)    10- 8   
 424 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1          ( 7-12, 73.3)     6- 4   
 426 A Lake Orion             MI 1          (14- 5, 78.0)     6- 9   
 501 H Clarkston              MI 1          (16- 3, 88.5)     0-11   
 503 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          ( 5-11, 71.1)     8- 7   
 504 H Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (11-11, 83.7)     6- 2   
 508 H Troy Athens            MI 1          ( 9-11, 82.4)     3-10   
 510 A North-Harrison         MI 1          ( 6-12, 71.0)     8- 5   
 511 A Huron Valley-Lakeland  MI 1          ( 9- 9, 75.0)     6- 7   
 515 A Plymouth               MI 1          ( 8-11, 72.2)     7- 6   
 517 H Royal Oak              MI 1          ( 4-14, 68.5)    11- 3   
 521 H Oxford                 MI 2          (11- 8, 69.5)     7- 2   
 524 A Grosse Pointe South    MI 2          (12- 6, 79.8)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Waterford              14- 1      13    20           0.00
   327 A Clarkston II           14- 8       6     7          -1.43
   329 H Avondale               15- 2      13    18           0.00
   411 A Novi                    7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   412 A Walled Lake Northern   10- 2       8     5    +      2.02
   416 H Rochester Adams         6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.42
   420 H Salem                  10- 8       2     1           0.62
   424 H Rochester Stoney Creek  6- 4       2     5    -     -3.29
   426 A Lake Orion              6- 9      -3    -1          -1.66
   501 H Clarkston               0-11     -11    -9          -0.05
   503 A Bloomfield Hills        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.48
   504 H Birmingham-Seaholm      6- 2       4    -5    +++    9.12
   508 H Troy Athens             3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.17
   510 A North-Harrison          8- 5       3     5    -     -2.60
   511 A Huron Valley-Lakeland   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.59
   515 A Plymouth                7- 6       1     4    -     -3.42
   517 H Royal Oak              11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   521 H Oxford                  7- 2       5     9    --    -4.01
   524 A Grosse Pointe South     4- 7      -3    -3           0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Rochester Adams         6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.42
   503 A Bloomfield Hills        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.48
   521 H Oxford                  7- 2       5     9    --    -4.01
   424 H Rochester Stoney Creek  6- 4       2     5    -     -3.29
   508 H Troy Athens             3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.17
   510 A North-Harrison          8- 5       3     5    -     -2.60
   511 A Huron Valley-Lakeland   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.59
   515 A Plymouth                7- 6       1     4    -     -3.42
   517 H Royal Oak              11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Birmingham-Seaholm      6- 2       4    -5    +++    9.12
   411 A Novi                    7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   412 A Walled Lake Northern   10- 2       8     5    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.59 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.32 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/