Conf = Northeast Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Tim MurphyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8410645 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Brookline MA 1 ( 6-12, 77.2) 6- 9 404 A Georgetown MA 3 (11- 9, 79.3) 5-13 409 A Swampscott MA 3 (10-10, 78.4) 5- 6 413 A Marblehead MA 2 (15- 5, 87.1) 9-14 417 H Waltham MA 1 ( 2-14, 74.8) 13- 9 419 H Peabody MA 1 ( 8-10, 78.6) 11- 7 423 A Beverly MA 2 (14- 5, 88.3) 13-14 3o 425 H Lowell MA 1 ( 6-13, 74.3) 12- 3 426 H Saugus MA 2 ( 6-14, 69.3) 10- 6 430 A Salem MA 1 ( 9-10, 76.8) 8- 7 508 H Gloucester MA 2 ( 5-12, 73.2) 9- 1 510 H Beverly MA 2 (14- 5, 88.3) 5- 8 512 A Peabody MA 1 ( 8-10, 78.6) 12-11 o 514 H Ipswich MA 3 ( 2-13, 70.7) 11- 5 517 H Marblehead MA 2 (15- 5, 87.1) 7- 8 519 A Wakefield MA 2 (13- 7, 85.0) 7-12 521 A Gloucester MA 2 ( 5-12, 73.2) 5- 3 523 H Newburyport MA 3 (15- 3, 86.8) 10-13 529 A Concord Carlisle MA 2 (22- 0, 97.5) 0-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Brookline 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.36 404 A Georgetown 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.21 409 A Swampscott 5- 6 -1 0 -1.12 413 A Marblehead 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.54 417 H Waltham 13- 9 4 5 -1.87 419 H Peabody 11- 7 4 2 1.96 423 A Beverly 13-14 3o -1 -9 +++ 8.76 425 H Lowell 12- 3 9 6 + 2.65 426 H Saugus 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 430 A Salem 8- 7 1 1 -0.77 508 H Gloucester 9- 1 8 7 0.53 510 H Beverly 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.61 512 A Peabody 12-11 o 1 0 1.10 514 H Ipswich 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 517 H Marblehead 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.40 519 A Wakefield 7-12 -5 -6 1.44 521 A Gloucester 5- 3 2 5 - -3.33 523 H Newburyport 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.13 529 A Concord Carlisle 0-14 -14 -18 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Georgetown 5-13 -8 0 --- -7.21 426 H Saugus 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 403 A Brookline 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.36 514 H Ipswich 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 521 A Gloucester 5- 3 2 5 - -3.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Beverly 13-14 3o -1 -9 +++ 8.76 510 H Beverly 5- 8 -3 -7 ++ 4.61 517 H Marblehead 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.40 413 A Marblehead 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.54 425 H Lowell 12- 3 9 6 + 2.65 523 H Newburyport 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.62 Local Power Rank........... 68 Local SOS Rating......... 58.56 Local SOS Rank............. 64 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 69 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 50 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 86 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0