Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8410645    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Brookline              MA 1          ( 6-12, 77.2)     6- 9   
 404 A Georgetown             MA 3          (11- 9, 79.3)     5-13   
 409 A Swampscott             MA 3          (10-10, 78.4)     5- 6   
 413 A Marblehead             MA 2          (15- 5, 87.1)     9-14   
 417 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 2-14, 74.8)    13- 9   
 419 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 8-10, 78.6)    11- 7   
 423 A Beverly                MA 2          (14- 5, 88.3)    13-14 3o
 425 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 6-13, 74.3)    12- 3   
 426 H Saugus                 MA 2          ( 6-14, 69.3)    10- 6   
 430 A Salem                  MA 1          ( 9-10, 76.8)     8- 7   
 508 H Gloucester             MA 2          ( 5-12, 73.2)     9- 1   
 510 H Beverly                MA 2          (14- 5, 88.3)     5- 8   
 512 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 8-10, 78.6)    12-11  o
 514 H Ipswich                MA 3          ( 2-13, 70.7)    11- 5   
 517 H Marblehead             MA 2          (15- 5, 87.1)     7- 8   
 519 A Wakefield              MA 2          (13- 7, 85.0)     7-12   
 521 A Gloucester             MA 2          ( 5-12, 73.2)     5- 3   
 523 H Newburyport            MA 3          (15- 3, 86.8)    10-13   
 529 A Concord Carlisle       MA 2          (22- 0, 97.5)     0-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Brookline               6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.36
   404 A Georgetown              5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.21
   409 A Swampscott              5- 6      -1     0          -1.12
   413 A Marblehead              9-14      -5    -8    +      3.54
   417 H Waltham                13- 9       4     5          -1.87
   419 H Peabody                11- 7       4     2           1.96
   423 A Beverly                13-14 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.76
   425 H Lowell                 12- 3       9     6    +      2.65
   426 H Saugus                 10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   430 A Salem                   8- 7       1     1          -0.77
   508 H Gloucester              9- 1       8     7           0.53
   510 H Beverly                 5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.61
   512 A Peabody                12-11  o    1     0           1.10
   514 H Ipswich                11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   517 H Marblehead              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.40
   519 A Wakefield               7-12      -5    -6           1.44
   521 A Gloucester              5- 3       2     5    -     -3.33
   523 H Newburyport            10-13      -3    -6    +      3.13
   529 A Concord Carlisle        0-14     -14   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Georgetown              5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.21
   426 H Saugus                 10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   403 A Brookline               6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.36
   514 H Ipswich                11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   521 A Gloucester              5- 3       2     5    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Beverly                13-14 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.76
   510 H Beverly                 5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.61
   517 H Marblehead              7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.40
   413 A Marblehead              9-14      -5    -8    +      3.54
   425 H Lowell                 12- 3       9     6    +      2.65
   523 H Newburyport            10-13      -3    -6    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.62 Local Power Rank...........    68
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.56 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    86
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/