Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Tigers               Coach  =   Jeff Lombardo         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9436798    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 84.5)     7-11   
 407 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     2-14   
 410 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     3- 4   
 413 H Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 92.3)     3- 8   
 417 A Glastonbury            CT L          (13- 5, 86.3)     7- 6   
 419 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 78.1)    11- 4   
 421 H Stonington             CT S          (13- 6, 81.9)     3- 1   
 423 H Xavier                 CT L          (11- 8, 81.1)    13- 5   
 427 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 84.5)     9- 7   
 430 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 9- 8, 79.3)    11- 7   
 504 H Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     8-10   
 507 A Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 77.4)     9-10   
 509 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-11, 78.3)    11- 6   
 512 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     7-10   
 514 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     1-15   
 517 A Ledyard                CT S          (10- 9, 79.4)     7- 5   
 521 H North Haven            CT M          (11- 8, 78.7)    14- 7   
 523 N Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)    10- 9   
 525 N Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     1-12   
 526 H Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    14- 8   
 530 A Avon HS                CT M          (17- 3, 86.0)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Cheshire HS             7-11      -4    -2          -1.12
   407 H Fairfield Prep          2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   410 A Guilford                3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.84
   413 H Simsbury                3- 8      -5    -8    +      3.67
   417 A Glastonbury             7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.67
   419 A Notre Dame-West Haven  11- 4       7     3    +      3.45
   421 H Stonington              3- 1       2     1           0.34
   423 H Xavier                 13- 5       8     2    ++     5.46
   427 H Cheshire HS             9- 7       2     0    +      2.95
   430 A Hall-West Hartford     11- 7       4     2           1.65
   504 H Guilford                8-10      -2    -1          -0.09
   507 A Branford                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.29
   509 H Amity Regional         11- 6       5     5          -0.33
   512 A East Lyme               7-10      -3    -4           1.23
   514 A Fairfield Prep          1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   517 A Ledyard                 7- 5       2     2          -0.25
   521 H North Haven            14- 7       7     4    +      2.11
   523 N Guilford               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.88
   525 N Fairfield Prep          1-12     -11   -11           0.00
   526 H Branford               14- 8       6     6          -0.22
   530 A Avon HS                 7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Branford                9-10      -1     4    --    -5.29
   530 A Avon HS                 7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Glastonbury             7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.67
   423 H Xavier                 13- 5       8     2    ++     5.46
   410 A Guilford                3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.84
   413 H Simsbury                3- 8      -5    -8    +      3.67
   419 A Notre Dame-West Haven  11- 4       7     3    +      3.45
   427 H Cheshire HS             9- 7       2     0    +      2.95
   521 H North Haven            14- 7       7     4    +      2.11
   523 N Guilford               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.63 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.89 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/