Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Buckskins            Coach  =   Matt Brubaker         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4459839    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (19- 3, 97.9)     2-16   
 326 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     1-15   
 330 H Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   ( 4-13, 77.8)     7- 4   
 331 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks   (13- 6, 89.9)     4-10   
 402 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)     8- 7   
 404 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)     6- 5   
 405 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (12- 6, 89.1)     4-12   
 409 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)     7-12   
 411 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     3-11   
 412 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     7- 9   
 416 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    14- 1   
 420 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     3-15   
 424 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    13- 1   
 427 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)     8- 4   
 428 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 83.2)    15-14  o
 430 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     5-11   
 503 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Wilson West Lawn        2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   326 A Ephrata                 1-15     -14   -17           0.00
   330 H Conrad Weiser           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.93
   331 H Wyomissing              4-10      -6    -6           0.20
   402 H Cocalico                8- 7       1     0           0.80
   404 A Lampeter-Strasburg      6- 5       1     1          -0.40
   405 H Governor Mifflin        4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.63
   409 A Lancaster Cou Day       7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.36
   411 A Warwick                 3-11      -8    -8           0.46
   412 H Hempfield               7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   416 H Garden Spot            14- 1      13    12           0.00
   420 A Manheim Township        3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   424 H Lancaster Mennonite    13- 1      12    16           0.00
   427 A Cedar Crest             8- 4       4     2           1.20
   428 A Red Lion               15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.09
   430 H Penn Manor              5-11      -6    -8    +      2.39
   503 H Elizabethtown           7-14      -7    -5          -1.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Conrad Weiser           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.93
   405 H Governor Mifflin        4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.63
   409 A Lancaster Cou Day       7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Hempfield               7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   428 A Red Lion               15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.09
   430 H Penn Manor              5-11      -6    -8    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.90 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.50 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/