Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Brett Jeffares        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0432281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 89.9)     7-10   
 324 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (15- 4, 93.2)     4-13   
 327 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.8)    15- 5   
 329 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.0)     4-16   
 403 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.8)     7-11   
 410 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     9-14   
 413 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 75.9)     8- 2   
 417 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.6)     6-16   
 419 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 91.9)     7-17   
 421 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 98.2)     0-12   
 425 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)     7-14   
 428 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)     4-11   
 502 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)     8-12   
 504 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     4-21   
 508 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)     7- 6   
 510 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Eastport/South Manor    7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   324 A Sayville                4-13      -9   -15           1.00
   327 H William Floyd          15- 5      10     2    +++    7.25
   329 A Sachem North            4-16     -12   -13           0.00
   403 A Half Hollow Hills West  7-11      -4    -4           0.96
   410 A Smithtown East          9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.83
   413 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 2       6     2    +      3.31
   417 H Walt Whitman            6-16     -10    -8          -1.98
   419 H Northport               7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   421 N Ward Melville           0-12     -12   -20           0.00
   425 A Half Hollow Hills East  7-14      -7    -7           0.33
   428 A Bay Shore               4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   502 A Sachem East             8-12      -4    -7    +      3.71
   504 H Smithtown West          4-21     -17   -21           0.00
   508 A East Islip              7- 6       1    -1    +      2.90
   510 H West Islip              7-13      -6   -21    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Eastport/South Manor    7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   327 H William Floyd          15- 5      10     2    +++    7.25
   410 A Smithtown East          9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.83
   510 H West Islip              7-13      -6   -21    ++     4.00
   413 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 2       6     2    +      3.31
   428 A Bay Shore               4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   502 A Sachem East             8-12      -4    -7    +      3.71
   508 A East Islip              7- 6       1    -1    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.21 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.40 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/