Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4458008    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (19- 4, 93.7)     4-14   
 403 A Waltham                MA 1          ( 2-14, 74.8)    13- 6   
 406 A Billerica              MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)     4-11   
 410 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          (11-10, 78.9)    11- 3   
 412 H Woburn                 MA 1          (14- 7, 84.9)    12- 7   
 417 H Malden Catholic        MA 1          ( 4-14, 77.4)    13- 6   
 419 H Wakefield              MA 2          (13- 7, 85.0)     9-10   
 421 A Salem                  MA 1          ( 9-10, 76.8)    13- 5   
 424 A Andover HS             MA 1          (11- 7, 89.1)     3-10   
 426 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (11- 9, 83.1)    12- 9   
 428 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     9-18   
 501 A Reading                MA 2          (16- 6, 89.1)     5- 6   
 506 A Westford Academy       MA 1          (15- 5, 93.7)     3-17   
 508 H Andover HS             MA 1          (11- 7, 89.1)    10- 9  o
 511 H Billerica              MA 1          (16- 6, 90.1)     7-11   
 515 H Haverhill              MA 1          (13- 6, 81.8)    14- 3   
 516 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 8-10, 78.6)    15- 7   
 518 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 6-13, 74.3)    13- 4   
 519 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 5-15, 73.1)    13- 4   
 521 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (10-10, 88.3)     3-12   
 522 H Central Catholic       MA 1          ( 3-17, 70.6)    13- 4   
 531 A Woburn                 MA 1          (14- 7, 84.9)    11- 6   
 603 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Catholic Memorial       4-14     -10    -9          -0.44
   403 A Waltham                13- 6       7     9    -     -2.35
   406 A Billerica               4-11      -7    -5          -1.10
   410 H Tewksbury Memorial     11- 3       8     7           0.61
   412 H Woburn                 12- 7       5     1    +      3.54
   417 H Malden Catholic        13- 6       7     8          -1.88
   419 H Wakefield               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.33
   421 A Salem                  13- 5       8     7           0.60
   424 A Andover HS              3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.09
   426 H Hamilton-Wenham        12- 9       3     3          -0.23
   428 A South Hadley            9-18      -9   -14          n/a  
   501 A Reading                 5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.92
   506 A Westford Academy        3-17     -14    -9          -0.44
   508 H Andover HS             10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.77
   511 H Billerica               7-11      -4    -3          -0.24
   515 H Haverhill              14- 3      11     4    ++     5.45
   516 A Peabody                15- 7       8     5    +      2.47
   518 H Lowell                 13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   519 A Dracut                 13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   521 H Xaverian Bros           3-12      -9    -1    ---   -7.03
   522 H Central Catholic       13- 4       9    15          -1.00
   531 A Woburn                 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.68
   603 A Acton Boxborough        4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Xaverian Bros           3-12      -9    -1    ---   -7.03
   403 A Waltham                13- 6       7     9    -     -2.35
   419 H Wakefield               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.33
   424 A Andover HS              3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Haverhill              14- 3      11     4    ++     5.45
   531 A Woburn                 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.68
   412 H Woburn                 12- 7       5     1    +      3.54
   501 A Reading                 5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.92
   508 H Andover HS             10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.77
   516 A Peabody                15- 7       8     5    +      2.47
   603 A Acton Boxborough        4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.25 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.44 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/