Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Brian Powers          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9043121    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 81.4)     5- 6   
 326 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)     6- 9   
 328 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    14- 5   
 330 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     5-14   
 403 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    13- 0   
 405 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     3- 4   
 412 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)     5- 8   
 417 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     5-14   
 419 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     6-16   
 421 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 82.7)     2- 9   
 423 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     4-16   
 427 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)     4- 8   
 428 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 89.3)     3-12   
 501 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6)     1-14   
 504 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)     8-10   
 505 H New Oxford             PA    York 2  ( 2-14, 72.6)     9- 6   
 507 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 74.9)     8-10   
 508 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 84.2)     9- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Mechanicsburg           5- 6      -1    -2           1.87
   326 H Cocalico                6- 9      -3    -3           0.41
   328 A Garden Spot            14- 5       9     6    +      2.14
   330 A Manheim Township        5-14      -9   -17           1.00
   403 H Lancaster Mennonite    13- 0      13    12           0.00
   405 A Penn Manor              3- 4      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   412 H Lancaster Cou Day       5- 8      -3    -4           1.65
   417 A Elizabethtown           5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   419 H Hempfield               6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   421 A Palmyra                 2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.80
   423 A Ephrata                 4-16     -12   -21           0.00
   427 H Conestoga Valley        4- 8      -4    -2          -1.20
   428 H Central Dauphin         3-12      -9    -9           0.16
   501 H Warwick                 1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   504 A Lampeter-Strasburg      8-10      -2    -2           0.20
   505 H New Oxford              9- 6       3     7    --    -4.50
   507 A Bishop McDevitt         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.60
   508 A Lower Dauphin           9- 7       2    -5    +++    7.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H New Oxford              9- 6       3     7    --    -4.50
   507 A Bishop McDevitt         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.60
   421 A Palmyra                 2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Penn Manor              3- 4      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   508 A Lower Dauphin           9- 7       2    -5    +++    7.72
   328 A Garden Spot            14- 5       9     6    +      2.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.30 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.57 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/