Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Red Wolves           Coach  =   Pat Kavanaugh         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5653229    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-10, 69.0)    16- 4   
 306 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 7, 84.9)     6-14   
 307 H Eastern Alamance       NC    Conf-06 ( 6-10, 71.5)     9- 4   
 309 H Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-12, 66.0)    14- 0   
 313 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     6- 7   
 316 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 8, 81.3)     7- 8   
 323 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 2-12, 64.1)    14- 3   
 327 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 8, 81.3)     4-12   
 330 A Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-12, 66.0)    16- 3   
 411 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     3-16   
 413 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 9, 72.0)     9- 3   
 417 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 7, 84.9)     9-13   
 420 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 2-12, 64.1)    15- 3   
 425 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 0-16, 62.3)    18- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Roxboro Community Sch  16- 4      12    10           0.00
   306 A East Chapel Hill        6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.30
   307 H Eastern Alamance        9- 4       5     8    -     -3.42
   309 H Northwood              14- 0      14    13           0.00
   313 H Chapel Hill             6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.05
   316 H Carrboro                7- 8      -1    -1           0.32
   323 H Hillsborough Orange    14- 3      11    15           0.00
   327 A Carrboro                4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.94
   330 A Northwood              16- 3      13    13           0.00
   411 A Chapel Hill             3-16     -13    -9          -0.21
   413 H J.F. Webb               9- 3       6     7          -2.00
   417 H East Chapel Hill        9-13      -4    -4           0.96
   420 A Hillsborough Orange    15- 3      12    15           0.00
   425 H Northern Durham        18- 5      13    17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Carrboro                4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.94
   306 A East Chapel Hill        6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.30
   307 H Eastern Alamance        9- 4       5     8    -     -3.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Chapel Hill             6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.58 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.66 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/