Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-E           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4458847    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 N Chico                  CA    NCLA-N  ( 5- 8, 80.0)    13- 4   
 225 N Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (16- 1, 97.6)     6-12   
 225 A Spanish Springs        NV 2  HSLL    ( 8- 7, 82.5)    12- 4   
 310 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-N  ( 4- 8, 79.5)    15-14   
 314 H Rio City               CA    NCLA-N  ( 1-11, 72.1)    16- 8   
 317 A Stockton               CA    NCLA-E  ( 1- 9, 74.4)    19- 8   
 321 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (16- 1, 97.6)     7-15   
 323 A Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-E  (13- 4, 90.5)     5-13   
 324 A Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 5- 8, 82.3)     8- 9   
 414 A Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-E  ( 7- 5, 86.1)     6-10   
 421 A Morgan Hill            CA    NCLA-S  ( 0- 8, 63.7)    22- 1   
 425 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 5- 8, 82.3)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 N Chico                  13- 4       9     4    ++     4.04
   225 N Pleasant Grove          6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   225 A Spanish Springs        12- 4       8     1          n/a  
   310 A Gold Country           15-14       1     4    -     -3.21
   314 H Rio City               16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   317 A Stockton               19- 8      11     9           0.77
   321 H Pleasant Grove          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   323 A Elk Grove               5-13      -8    -6          -1.17
   324 A Orangevale              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.38
   414 A Woodcreek               6-10      -4    -2          -1.56
   421 A Morgan Hill            22- 1      21    20           0.00
   425 H Orangevale              4-12      -8     4    ---  -12.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Orangevale              4-12      -8     4    ---  -12.03
   310 A Gold Country           15-14       1     4    -     -3.21
   314 H Rio City               16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   324 A Orangevale              8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Spanish Springs        12- 4       8     1    +++        
   224 N Chico                  13- 4       9     4    ++     4.04
   225 N Pleasant Grove          6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   321 H Pleasant Grove          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.01 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.12 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/