Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Chris Mann            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3995590    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Millbrook              NC    Conf-03 (13- 4, 83.8)     2-11   
 302 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.7)    12-13 2o
 303 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.6)    12-11 3o
 306 H Cary Academy           NC    NCISAA  ( 4-12, 75.3)    15- 9   
 308 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 2-12, 64.1)    16- 0   
 313 H Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-12, 66.0)    14- 1   
 316 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 6, 79.6)     8- 7   
 320 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 7, 84.9)    11-12   
 323 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     7- 8   
 327 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 6, 79.6)    12- 4   
 328 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-10, 69.0)    17- 4   
 330 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     3- 7   
 411 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)     8-15   
 413 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 2-12, 64.1)    18- 3   
 417 A Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-12, 66.0)    11- 2   
 420 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (11- 7, 84.9)     2-12   
 504 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (15- 2, 88.4)    10- 9 3o
 508 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-02 (14- 4, 89.5)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Millbrook               2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.12
   302 A Wilmington Ashley      12-13 2o   -1     0          -0.21
   303 A Wilmington New Hanover 12-11 3o    1     0           1.66
   306 H Cary Academy           15- 9       6     6          n/a  
   308 H Hillsborough Orange    16- 0      16    17           0.00
   313 H Northwood              14- 1      13    15           0.00
   316 A Cedar Ridge             8- 7       1     1          -0.32
   320 H East Chapel Hill       11-12      -1    -3    +      2.27
   323 A Chapel Hill             7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.09
   327 H Cedar Ridge            12- 4       8     2    ++     5.94
   328 A Roxboro Community Sch  17- 4      13    11           0.00
   330 H Chapel Hill             3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.35
   411 H Panther Creek           8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.71
   413 A Hillsborough Orange    18- 3      15    16           0.00
   417 A Northwood              11- 2       9    14          -1.00
   420 A East Chapel Hill        2-12     -10    -4    --    -5.99
   504 A Durham Jordan          10- 9 3o    1    -7    +++    8.52
   508 A Athens Drive            5-12      -7    -8           1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Millbrook               2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.12
   411 H Panther Creek           8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.71
   420 A East Chapel Hill        2-12     -10    -4    --    -5.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Chapel Hill             7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.09
   504 A Durham Jordan          10- 9 3o    1    -7    +++    8.52
   327 H Cedar Ridge            12- 4       8     2    ++     5.94
   320 H East Chapel Hill       11-12      -1    -3    +      2.27
   330 H Chapel Hill             3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.27 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.62 Local SOS Rank.............    37
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/