Region = NC    NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Hurricanes           Coach  =   Paul Gilbert          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3684540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.6)     8- 9   
 302 A Davidson Day           NC    NCISAA  ( 8-10, 81.1)    11- 6   
 303 A Charlotte Latin        NC    NCISAA  (17- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 313 H Providence Day         NC    NCISAA  (16- 5, 95.8)     8-13   
 323 H Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (15- 7, 88.7)    15- 8   
 324 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC    NCISAA  (10-10, 83.6)     8- 3   
 324 H Cary Christian         NC    NCISAA  ( 7-11, 77.6)     8- 3   
 327 A Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 0-12, 64.8)    17- 2   
 405 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.7)    11- 8   
 411 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.7)     9-10   
 416 A Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (12- 7, 91.9)     8-14   
 423 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     6-14   
 425 A Cary Christian         NC    NCISAA  ( 7-11, 77.6)    11- 4   
 427 A Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  ( 9-10, 87.1)     5- 7   
 501 A Cary Academy           NC    NCISAA  ( 4-12, 75.3)    12- 9   
 504 H Davidson Day           NC    NCISAA  ( 8-10, 81.1)    10- 3   
 508 H Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 0-12, 64.8)    17- 5   
 512 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC    NCISAA  (10-10, 83.6)     8- 4   
 515 A Providence Day         NC    NCISAA  (16- 5, 95.8)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H Wilmington New Hanover  8- 9      -1     4          n/a  
   302 A Davidson Day           11- 6       5     2    +      2.20
   303 A Charlotte Latin         5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   313 H Providence Day          8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.70
   323 H Kiski Prep             15- 8       7    -2          n/a  
   324 H Forsyth Cou Day         8- 3       5     2    +      2.43
   324 H Cary Christian          8- 3       5     8    -     -3.55
   327 A Parrott Academy        17- 2      15    19           0.00
   405 A Wilmington Ashley      11- 8       3     2          n/a  
   411 H Wilmington Ashley       9-10      -1     4          n/a  
   416 A Ravenscroft School      8-14      -6    -8    +      2.02
   423 H Chapel Hill             6-14      -8    -3          n/a  
   425 A Cary Christian         11- 4       7     6           0.70
   427 A Durham Academy          5- 7      -2    -3           1.25
   501 A Cary Academy           12- 9       3     8    --    -5.55
   504 H Davidson Day           10- 3       7     5           1.95
   508 H Parrott Academy        17- 5      12    21           0.00
   512 H Forsyth Cou Day         8- 4       4     2           1.43
   515 A Providence Day          5-16     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H Wilmington New Hanover  8- 9      -1     4    --         
   411 H Wilmington Ashley       9-10      -1     4    --         
   423 H Chapel Hill             6-14      -8    -3    --         
   501 A Cary Academy           12- 9       3     8    --    -5.55
   324 H Cary Christian          8- 3       5     8    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Kiski Prep             15- 8       7    -2    +++        
   313 H Providence Day          8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.70
   302 A Davidson Day           11- 6       5     2    +      2.20
   324 H Forsyth Cou Day         8- 3       5     2    +      2.43
   416 A Ravenscroft School      8-14      -6    -8    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.01 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.73 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/