Region = FL    Dist-5           
   Nickname = L Bears                Coach  =   Joe Ciccarelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9455338    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 H Starr's Mill           GA A  Area01  (12- 7, 85.6)    10- 8   
 224 H Ponte Vedra            FL    Dist-5  (17- 3, 98.1)     3-12   
 301 H Nease                  FL    Dist-5  ( 8-10, 80.5)     8- 6   
 302 H Maclay                 FL    Dist-1  (12- 5, 90.4)    15-10   
 307 A Oak Hall-Gainesville   FL    Dist-7  (12- 5, 82.2)    17- 9   
 309 A Menendez               FL    Dist-6  ( 8- 9, 73.1)    13- 1   
 316 H Lincoln-Tallahassee    FL    Dist-1  ( 5- 8, 80.0)    14- 3   
 317 A Winter Park            FL    Dist-12 (16- 6, 92.6)    12-13   
 320 H Mandarin               FL    Dist-4  (11- 7, 76.4)    14- 2   
 323 N Timber Creek           FL    Dist-13 (13- 7, 90.5)     6- 7   
 324 A Hagerty                FL    Dist-13 (13- 6, 89.6)     6- 7   
 327 H Creekside              FL    Dist-5  (14- 2, 95.6)     8-10   
 330 H Milton                 GA AA Area03  (18- 3, 99.9)    10-16   
 402 H Alpharetta             GA AA Area03  (18- 2, 98.3)     5- 9   
 410 H Episcopal Jacksonville FL    Dist-2  (13- 6, 90.1)     7-14   
 413 A Bolles                 FL    Dist-4  ( 7-11, 85.1)    12-13   
 417 H Creekside              FL    Dist-5  (14- 2, 95.6)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Starr's Mill           10- 8       2     1          n/a  
   224 H Ponte Vedra             3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   301 H Nease                   8- 6       2     7    --    -5.09
   302 H Maclay                 15-10       5    -2    +++    7.80
   307 A Oak Hall-Gainesville   17- 9       8     3    ++     4.44
   309 A Menendez               13- 1      12    12           0.00
   316 H Lincoln-Tallahassee    14- 3      11     7    +      2.36
   317 A Winter Park            12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.82
   320 H Mandarin               14- 2      12    11           0.00
   323 N Timber Creek            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.82
   324 A Hagerty                 6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.82
   327 H Creekside               8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.96
   330 H Milton                 10-16      -6   -12          n/a  
   402 H Alpharetta              5- 9      -4   -10          n/a  
   410 H Episcopal Jacksonville  7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.53
   413 A Bolles                 12-13      -1     0          -1.65
   417 H Creekside               6-11      -5    -7    +      2.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Nease                   8- 6       2     7    --    -5.09
   410 H Episcopal Jacksonville  7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Maclay                 15-10       5    -2    +++    7.80
   402 H Alpharetta              5- 9      -4   -10    +++        
   307 A Oak Hall-Gainesville   17- 9       8     3    ++     4.44
   317 A Winter Park            12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.82
   327 H Creekside               8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.96
   330 H Milton                 10-16      -6   -12    ++         
   316 H Lincoln-Tallahassee    14- 3      11     7    +      2.36
   323 N Timber Creek            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.82
   324 A Hagerty                 6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.82
   417 H Creekside               6-11      -5    -7    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.67 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.62 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/