Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Kevan Bowler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6193542    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 N Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (12- 9, 89.8)     8- 9  o
 331 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 6-13, 87.0)     9- 6   
 404 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (14- 2, 98.6)     6- 8   
 406 H Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (12- 1, 99.9)     7-11   
 407 H South Kent             NE 2  West    ( 8- 7, 89.7)    16- 2   
 411 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (10- 5, 93.5)     5- 7   
 414 A Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 3-13, 83.9)     4- 9   
 418 A Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 8- 7, 93.0)     3-11   
 421 A Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 1-15, 78.3)    13- 6   
 425 A Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 7- 9, 89.4)    17- 6   
 428 H Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL (11- 7, 93.2)     6-14   
 430 A Gunnery School         NE 2  West    ( 9- 6, 93.2)    11- 2   
 504 H Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (10- 7, 93.1)     6-10   
 505 A Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 8- 7, 90.5)     3-13   
 509 A Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL (10- 5, 93.5)    10- 7   
 511 A Suffield Academy       NE 2  West    ( 6- 9, 88.3)    17- 2   
 516 H Millbrook School       NE 2  West    (15- 4, 99.9)    10-11   
 518 H Canterbury             NE 2  West    (11- 6, 97.3)    16- 5   
 519 A Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (11- 7, 94.0)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Episcopal HS            8- 9  o   -1     0          n/a  
   331 A Northfield Mt Hermon    9- 6       3     2           0.84
   404 A Deerfield               6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.46
   406 H Salisbury School        7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.99
   407 H South Kent             16- 2      14     1          n/a  
   411 H Avon Old Farms          5- 7      -2    -2           0.61
   414 A Loomis Chaffee          4- 9      -5     5    ---  -10.21
   418 A Hotchkiss               3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.15
   421 A Kent School            13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   425 A Williston Northampton  17- 6      11     0          n/a  
   428 H Trinity-Pawling         6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.71
   430 A Gunnery School         11- 2       9    -3          n/a  
   504 H Taft School             6-10      -4    -2          -1.84
   505 A Choate                  3-13     -10    -1    ---   -8.63
   509 A Westminster School     10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.38
   511 A Suffield Academy       17- 2      15     0          n/a  
   516 H Millbrook School       10-11      -1    -9          n/a  
   518 H Canterbury             16- 5      11    -6          n/a  
   519 A Brunswick School        8-11      -3    -4           1.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Loomis Chaffee          4- 9      -5     5    ---  -10.21
   505 A Choate                  3-13     -10    -1    ---   -8.63
   418 A Hotchkiss               3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.15
   428 H Trinity-Pawling         6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.71
   421 A Kent School            13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Deerfield               6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.46
   407 H South Kent             16- 2      14     1    +++        
   425 A Williston Northampton  17- 6      11     0    +++        
   430 A Gunnery School         11- 2       9    -3    +++        
   509 A Westminster School     10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.38
   511 A Suffield Academy       17- 2      15     0    +++        
   516 H Millbrook School       10-11      -1    -9    +++        
   518 H Canterbury             16- 5      11    -6    +++        
   406 H Salisbury School        7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.02 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.45 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/