Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Michael Baccala       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.9684067    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 N St Vincent Pallotti    MD C  MIAA-B  (11- 7, 89.7)     2-11   
 310 N St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 5- 9, 74.2)     8-13   
 314 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.6)     1-19   
 316 A Oxon Hill              MD    Indep   ( 0- 4, 53.9)    13- 0   
 319 H Rockbridge Academy     MD    MILL    ( 2- 6, 65.5)     9-10  o
 321 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (20- 1, 99.9)     2-19   
 323 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10- 9, 89.7)     0-22   
 327 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 91.3)     1-21   
 329 H Oxon Hill              MD    Indep   ( 0- 4, 53.9)    12- 0   
 416 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (14- 5, 94.5)     0-22   
 427 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 5-15, 75.9)     4- 8   
 430 N Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 81.7)     0-16   
 501 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    ( 8-10, 87.3)     2-18   
 507 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 5-15, 75.9)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 N St Vincent Pallotti     2-11      -9   -22          n/a  
   310 N St Andrews Episcopal    8-13      -5    -7    +      2.43
   314 H DeMatha                 1-19     -18   -22           0.00
   316 A Oxon Hill              13- 0      13    12           0.00
   319 H Rockbridge Academy      9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.34
   321 H Gonzaga                 2-19     -17   -33           0.00
   323 H St Johns DC             0-22     -22   -22           0.00
   327 A Paul VI                 1-21     -20   -24           0.00
   329 H Oxon Hill              12- 0      12    12           0.00
   416 H St Marys Ryken          0-22     -22   -27           0.00
   427 A Bishop Ireton           4- 8      -4    -9    ++     5.04
   430 N Bishop O'Connell        0-16     -16   -14           0.00
   501 H Our Lady-Good Counsel   2-18     -16   -20           0.00
   507 A Bishop Ireton           2-14     -12    -9          -0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Rockbridge Academy      9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Bishop Ireton           4- 8      -4    -9    ++     5.04
   310 N St Andrews Episcopal    8-13      -5    -7    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.82 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.82 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.32 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -19.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -19.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.7
/