Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Jaguars              Coach  =   Scott Cater           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6851883    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 H Rochester Marshall     MN 1  Big9    (10- 4, 85.2)    10- 2   
 414 H Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 1-13, 77.5)     8- 4   
 417 A Eastview               MN 1  SoSub   (16- 1, 99.9)     0-14   
 420 H Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Missota ( 9- 6, 87.5)     6-10   
 424 A Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (12- 4, 93.7)     4-17   
 426 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 85.1)     7- 8  o
 501 H Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-11, 77.4)    11- 8   
 504 A Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-12, 75.7)     8- 7 2o
 507 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 88.8)     8- 9 4o
 509 H Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 7- 7, 80.6)     8- 5   
 511 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (14- 3, 97.3)     3-12   
 515 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (11- 4, 91.4)     5- 7   
 517 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 5-10, 85.0)     5-13   
 524 H Minneapolis Inner City MN 1  Indep   ( 6- 8, 79.9)    11- 6   
 525 A St Thomas Academy      MN 1  Classic (11- 4, 88.8)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Rochester Marshall     10- 2       8    -1    +++    9.35
   414 H Breck                   8- 4       4     6    -     -2.28
   417 A Eastview                0-14     -14   -18           0.00
   420 H Academy Holy Angels     6-10      -4    -3          -0.34
   424 A Rosemount               4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   426 A Burnsville              7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.66
   501 H Lakeville South        11- 8       3     6    -     -3.36
   504 A Bloom Kennedy           8- 7 2o    1     5    --    -4.74
   507 A Apple Valley            8- 9 4o   -1    -7    +++    6.35
   509 H Woodbury                8- 5       3     3          -0.24
   511 H Eagan                   3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   515 H Lakeville North         5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.63
   517 A Prior Lake              5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.45
   524 H Minneapolis Inner City 11- 6       5     3           1.07
   525 A St Thomas Academy       7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Bloom Kennedy           8- 7 2o    1     5    --    -4.74
   517 A Prior Lake              5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.45
   414 H Breck                   8- 4       4     6    -     -2.28
   501 H Lakeville South        11- 8       3     6    -     -3.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Rochester Marshall     10- 2       8    -1    +++    9.35
   507 A Apple Valley            8- 9 4o   -1    -7    +++    6.35
   515 H Lakeville North         5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.63
   525 A St Thomas Academy       7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.34
   426 A Burnsville              7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.63 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.97 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/