Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  Indep            
   Nickname = N Bears                Coach  =   Chris Garland         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4850693    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 A Hopkins                MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 9, 83.5)     9- 4   
 417 A Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 1-13, 77.5)    11- 5   
 421 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic (11- 3, 92.8)     4- 5  o
 424 A Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Missota ( 9- 6, 87.5)     9-11   
 426 H Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (15- 3, 96.2)     5- 6   
 428 A St Thomas Academy      MN 1  Classic (11- 4, 88.8)     5- 9   
 501 H Benilde St. Margaret   MN 1  North   (12- 3, 94.5)     4- 7   
 503 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 5-10, 85.0)    10- 6   
 507 H Holy Family Catholic   MN 1  Indep   ( 4- 8, 79.7)    18- 2   
 511 H Totino Grace           MN 1  North   (14- 4, 89.8)     6- 9   
 515 H Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 1-13, 77.5)    10- 3   
 517 A Orono                  MN 1  Indep   (12- 3, 88.5)     6- 7   
 524 H Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 1-13, 77.5)    10- 3   
 525 A Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Missota ( 9- 6, 87.5)    14- 9   
 529 A St Thomas Academy      MN 1  Classic (11- 4, 88.8)     9- 8   
 531 A Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 7-11, 86.9)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Hopkins                 9- 4       5     3           1.17
   417 A Breck                  11- 5       6     9    -     -3.76
   421 H Mahtomedi               4- 5  o   -1    -3    +      2.18
   424 A Academy Holy Angels     9-11      -2     0          -1.83
   426 H Eden Prairie            5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.56
   428 A St Thomas Academy       5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.49
   501 H Benilde St. Margaret    4- 7      -3    -4           1.83
   503 A Prior Lake             10- 6       4     2           1.71
   507 H Holy Family Catholic   18- 2      16     9           0.03
   511 H Totino Grace            6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.83
   515 H Breck                  10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00
   517 A Orono                   6- 7      -1    -1           0.16
   524 H Breck                  10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00
   525 A Academy Holy Angels    14- 9       5     0    ++     5.17
   529 A St Thomas Academy       9- 8       1    -1    +      2.51
   531 A Edina                   4- 5      -1     0          -1.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Breck                  11- 5       6     9    -     -3.76
   428 A St Thomas Academy       5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.49
   511 H Totino Grace            6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.83
   515 H Breck                  10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00
   524 H Breck                  10- 3       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Eden Prairie            5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.56
   525 A Academy Holy Angels    14- 9       5     0    ++     5.17
   421 H Mahtomedi               4- 5  o   -1    -3    +      2.18
   529 A St Thomas Academy       9- 8       1    -1    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.47 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.90 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/