Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2089996    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 4, 94.2)     6- 7 2o
 329 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 77.9)    10- 2   
 330 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 9, 82.4)    14- 6   
 403 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-12   
 405 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 79.1)    12- 3   
 409 H Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-12, 72.2)    23- 0   
 412 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-12, 82.0)    20- 1   
 414 A Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   (11- 6, 83.2)    17- 4   
 417 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-12, 76.5)    18- 1   
 424 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (11- 8, 87.7)     9- 5   
 426 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-16, 73.3)    15- 1   
 428 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 4, 94.2)     6- 8   
 501 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 9, 82.4)    12- 7   
 505 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-13   
 508 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 1-16, 73.3)    19- 4   
 511 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (11- 8, 87.7)     6- 5   
 518 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 4, 94.2)     8- 4   
 523 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Corning                 6- 7 2o   -1     0          -0.17
   329 H Corcoran               10- 2       8    15          n/a  
   330 A Horseheads             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   403 H Ithaca                  3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   405 A Chenango Forks         12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   409 H Chenango Valley        23- 0      23    21           0.00
   412 H Newburgh Free Academy  20- 1      19    11          n/a  
   414 A Seton Catholic Central 17- 4      13     9           0.32
   417 A Owego Free Academy     18- 1      17    16           0.00
   424 H Vestal                  9- 5       4     5          -1.63
   426 A Union-Endicott         15- 1      14    19           0.00
   428 A Corning                 6- 8      -2    -1          -0.69
   501 H Horseheads             12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   505 A Ithaca                  3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.97
   508 H Union-Endicott         19- 4      15    20           0.00
   511 A Vestal                  6- 5       1     5    --    -4.15
   518 A Corning                 8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.31
   523 A Ithaca                  6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Horseheads             12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   511 A Vestal                  6- 5       1     5    --    -4.15
   329 H Corcoran               10- 2       8    15    -          
   330 A Horseheads             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   403 H Ithaca                  3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   505 A Ithaca                  3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Corning                 8- 4       4    -1    ++     5.31
   523 A Ithaca                  6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.12 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.21 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   19.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/