Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   James Cornicelli      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1946945    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)     7- 6   
 302 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-02 ( 5- 9, 81.3)    15- 9   
 306 A Apex                   NC    Conf-02 (14- 5, 92.2)     6- 4   
 309 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (11- 8, 88.5)     7- 6 2o
 313 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 3-13, 73.9)    13- 6   
 316 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-02 (20- 1, 96.3)     6- 8   
 323 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)    11- 4   
 410 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-14, 73.9)     9- 2   
 413 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-02 ( 5- 9, 81.3)    12- 5   
 417 H Apex                   NC    Conf-02 (14- 5, 92.2)     2-11   
 420 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (11- 8, 88.5)     5- 4   
 424 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 3-13, 73.9)    11- 6   
 425 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-02 (20- 1, 96.3)     3-14   
 501 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-14, 73.9)     8- 3   
 504 A Needham-Broughton      NC    Conf-03 (13- 2, 87.5)     6- 5   
 508 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 (10- 8, 81.3)    12- 5   
 511 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     6- 4   
 515 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-02 (20- 1, 96.3)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Panther Creek           7- 6       1     5    --    -4.22
   302 H Middle Creek           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.59
   306 A Apex                    6- 4       2    -3    ++     5.03
   309 H Holly Springs           7- 6 2o    1     1          -0.36
   313 A Green Hope             13- 6       7    15    -     -3.00
   316 H Cardinal Gibbons        6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.39
   323 H Panther Creek          11- 4       7     5           1.04
   410 H Cary HS                 9- 2       7    16    -     -3.00
   413 A Middle Creek           12- 5       7     7          -0.85
   417 H Apex                    2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.71
   420 A Holly Springs           5- 4       1     0           0.38
   424 H Green Hope             11- 6       5    16    --    -5.00
   425 A Cardinal Gibbons        3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.87
   501 A Cary HS                 8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   504 A Needham-Broughton       6- 5       1     1          -0.69
   508 H Carrboro               12- 5       7     8          -1.62
   511 A Chapel Hill             6- 4       2     0           1.84
   515 A Cardinal Gibbons        5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Apex                    2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.71
   228 A Panther Creek           7- 6       1     5    --    -4.22
   424 H Green Hope             11- 6       5    16    --    -5.00
   501 A Cary HS                 8- 3       5    15    --    -5.00
   302 H Middle Creek           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.59
   313 A Green Hope             13- 6       7    15    -     -3.00
   410 H Cary HS                 9- 2       7    16    -     -3.00
   425 A Cardinal Gibbons        3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Cardinal Gibbons        5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.13
   306 A Apex                    6- 4       2    -3    ++     5.03
   316 H Cardinal Gibbons        6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.52 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.08 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/