Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Cougars              Coach  =   John Hayden           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1841125    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-02 (20- 1, 96.3)     6-10   
 302 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)    17- 4   
 306 H Athens Drive           NC    Conf-02 (14- 4, 89.5)     4- 6   
 309 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 3-13, 73.9)    19- 6   
 310 N Lambert                GA A  Area03  (22- 0, 99.9)     7-10   
 313 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-14, 73.9)    14- 2   
 316 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-02 ( 5- 9, 81.3)    13- 5   
 323 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-02 (20- 1, 96.3)     8-14   
 327 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 9, 83.9)    14- 6   
 329 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 ( 7-10, 76.7)    16- 5   
 405 A Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (12- 7, 91.9)     8- 7  o
 410 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (11- 8, 88.5)    11- 6   
 417 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-02 (14- 4, 89.5)    11- 2   
 420 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 3-13, 73.9)    20- 5   
 424 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-14, 73.9)    15- 4   
 427 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-02 ( 5- 9, 81.3)    16- 7   
 501 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (11- 8, 88.5)    15-14  o
 504 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.6)    16- 9   
 508 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (15- 4, 89.0)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Cardinal Gibbons        6-10      -4    -4           0.46
   302 H Panther Creek          17- 4      13     8           1.38
   306 H Athens Drive            4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.03
   309 A Green Hope             19- 6      13    17           0.00
   310 N Lambert                 7-10      -3    -7          n/a  
   313 H Cary HS                14- 2      12    18           0.00
   316 A Middle Creek           13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   323 H Cardinal Gibbons        8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   327 A Panther Creek          14- 6       8     7           0.12
   329 H Durham Riverside       16- 5      11    15           0.00
   405 A Ravenscroft School      8- 7  o    1     0          n/a  
   410 H Holly Springs          11- 6       5     4           0.98
   417 A Athens Drive           11- 2       9     2    +++    6.71
   420 H Green Hope             20- 5      15    18           0.00
   424 A Cary HS                15- 4      11    17           0.00
   427 H Middle Creek           16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   501 A Holly Springs          15-14  o    1     3    -     -2.28
   504 H Wilmington New Hanover 16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 A Chapel Hill             8-12      -4     2    ---   -6.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Chapel Hill             8-12      -4     2    ---   -6.82
   306 H Athens Drive            4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.03
   316 A Middle Creek           13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   323 H Cardinal Gibbons        8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   501 A Holly Springs          15-14  o    1     3    -     -2.28
   504 H Wilmington New Hanover 16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Athens Drive           11- 2       9     2    +++    6.71
   310 N Lambert                 7-10      -3    -7    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.19 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.59 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/