Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    (13- 3, 97.3)    16-15  o
 414 H Wayzata                MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 9, 86.6)    14- 7   
 417 H Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 9, 82.6)    14- 0   
 424 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 5-10, 85.0)    15- 2   
 426 H Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-12, 75.7)    16- 1   
 428 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic (11- 3, 92.8)     9- 8   
 501 A Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (12- 4, 93.7)     8- 7   
 503 A Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (14- 3, 97.3)    11- 4   
 508 A Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (11- 4, 91.4)     8- 9  o
 510 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-11, 77.4)    15- 3   
 515 H Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 85.1)    16- 5   
 517 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 88.8)    13- 2   
 525 H Farmington             MN 1  Missota ( 8- 6, 83.9)    16- 7   
 530 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (11- 4, 91.4)     9- 5   
 601 N Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (14- 3, 97.3)     8- 7   
 605 N Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 7-11, 86.9)    15- 6   
 607 N Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (15- 3, 96.2)    10- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Minnetonka             16-15  o    1     3    -     -2.82
   414 H Wayzata                14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00
   417 H Bloom Jefferson        14- 0      14    18           0.00
   424 H Prior Lake             15- 2      13    16           0.00
   426 H Bloom Kennedy          16- 1      15    25           0.00
   428 H Mahtomedi               9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.26
   501 A Rosemount               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.98
   503 A Eagan                  11- 4       7     1    ++     5.58
   508 A Lakeville North         8- 9  o   -1     7    ---   -8.29
   510 A Lakeville South        15- 3      12    21           0.00
   515 H Burnsville             16- 5      11    15           0.00
   517 A Apple Valley           13- 2      11     9           0.08
   525 H Farmington             16- 7       9    17          -1.00
   530 H Lakeville North         9- 5       4     9    --    -5.64
   601 N Eagan                   8- 7       1     2          -1.60
   605 N Edina                  15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   607 N Eden Prairie           10- 4       6     3    +      2.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Mahtomedi               9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.26
   508 A Lakeville North         8- 9  o   -1     7    ---   -8.29
   530 H Lakeville North         9- 5       4     9    --    -5.64
   412 H Minnetonka             16-15  o    1     3    -     -2.82
   414 H Wayzata                14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00
   501 A Rosemount               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Eagan                  11- 4       7     1    ++     5.58
   607 N Eden Prairie           10- 4       6     3    +      2.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.05 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   39.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.220.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/