Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Spartans             Coach  =   Frank DeRubeis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1727142    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     3-15   
 410 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          ( 9- 8, 85.1)     5- 6   
 412 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 6-10, 73.4)     8- 2   
 414 N Hingham                MA 2          (20- 4, 93.3)     4-12   
 416 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 78.1)    12- 3   
 419 H Xavier                 CT L          (11- 8, 81.1)     7- 9   
 423 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     3-13   
 425 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 84.5)     4-13   
 427 A West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 61.9)    17- 2   
 430 H North Haven            CT M          (11- 8, 78.7)     5- 6   
 503 H Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    14-13  o
 507 A Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 92.3)     2-13   
 509 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11-10, 82.6)     6-11   
 512 A Newton North           MA 1          (14- 6, 88.6)     7-13   
 514 A Wilbur Cross           CT M          ( 0-16, 58.5)    11- 1   
 517 H Shelton                CT L          (11- 7, 81.1)    15- 4   
 521 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Fairfield Prep          3-15     -12   -15           0.00
   410 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.79
   412 H Hamden                  8- 2       6     5           0.19
   414 N Hingham                 4-12      -8   -15          n/a  
   416 H Notre Dame-West Haven  12- 3       9     1    +++    7.89
   419 H Xavier                  7- 9      -2    -1          -0.17
   423 A Guilford                3-13     -10    -8          -1.80
   425 A Cheshire HS             4-13      -9    -7          -1.76
   427 A West Haven             17- 2      15    15           0.00
   430 H North Haven             5- 6      -1     0          -1.53
   503 H Branford               14-13  o    1     1          -0.86
   507 A Simsbury                2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   509 A Daniel Hand-Madison     6-11      -5    -5           0.33
   512 A Newton North            7-13      -6   -11          n/a  
   514 A Wilbur Cross           11- 1      10    18           0.00
   517 H Shelton                15- 4      11    -1    +++   11.83
   521 A Fairfield Prep          4-18     -14   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.79
   416 H Notre Dame-West Haven  12- 3       9     1    +++    7.89
   517 H Shelton                15- 4      11    -1    +++   11.83
   512 A Newton North            7-13      -6   -11    ++         
   414 N Hingham                 4-12      -8   -15    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.26 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.25 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/