Region = VA    WesCent          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Crow             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4893036    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Salem                  VA    West    (12- 6, 94.1)    11-10  o
 322 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    West    (15- 4, 96.6)     9-10   
 326 A Battlefield            VA    Cedar   (19- 2, 99.9)     5- 8   
 328 H Douglas Freeman        VA    Colonl  (11- 6, 92.8)     5- 6   
 411 A Western Albemarle      VA    WesCent ( 6-11, 85.5)    14- 6   
 419 H Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 7- 9, 88.3)    11- 7   
 424 A Charlottesville        VA    WesCent (12- 6, 89.9)    15-12   
 426 H Fluvanna County        VA    WesCent ( 0-13, 66.9)    18- 1   
 501 A St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (11- 7, 93.9)     8-11   
 502 A Fluvanna County        VA    WesCent ( 0-13, 66.9)    19- 0   
 504 H Western Albemarle      VA    WesCent ( 6-11, 85.5)    14- 3   
 508 A Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 7- 9, 88.3)    11- 6   
 510 H Charlottesville        VA    WesCent (12- 6, 89.9)    10- 4   
 512 A E.C. Glass             VA    West    (17- 4, 97.8)     7-10   
 514 H Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 7- 9, 88.3)     8- 7   
 518 H Charlottesville        VA    WesCent (12- 6, 89.9)    13- 8   
 522 H Salem                  VA    West    (12- 6, 94.1)     5- 6  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Salem                  11-10  o    1     0           0.54
   322 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   9-10      -1    -3    +      2.23
   326 A Battlefield             5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.49
   328 H Douglas Freeman         5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.77
   411 A Western Albemarle      14- 6       8     7           0.06
   419 H Monticello             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.26
   424 A Charlottesville        15-12       3     3          -0.48
   426 H Fluvanna County        18- 1      17    27           0.00
   501 A St Christopher's        8-11      -3     0          n/a  
   502 A Fluvanna County        19- 0      19    26           0.00
   504 H Western Albemarle      14- 3      11     9           0.92
   508 A Monticello             11- 6       5     5          -0.12
   510 H Charlottesville        10- 4       6     4           1.38
   512 A E.C. Glass              7-10      -3    -4           1.35
   514 H Monticello              8- 7       1     6    --    -5.26
   518 H Charlottesville        13- 8       5     4           0.38
   522 H Salem                   5- 6  o   -1     0          -1.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Monticello              8- 7       1     6    --    -5.26
   328 H Douglas Freeman         5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.77
   419 H Monticello             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.26
   501 A St Christopher's        8-11      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   9-10      -1    -3    +      2.23
   326 A Battlefield             5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.98 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.54 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/