Conf = Dual County Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Pat AmmendoliaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0968399 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Masconomet MA 1 (17- 5, 91.4) 18- 8 403 A Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (16- 6, 92.9) 13-14 o 405 A Westford Academy MA 1 (15- 5, 93.7) 10-16 409 A King Philip MA 2 ( 8-10, 82.1) 17- 6 414 H Framingham MA 1 (12- 6, 89.0) 15-11 417 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 (10- 9, 89.6) 11- 4 419 H Brookline MA 1 ( 6-12, 77.2) 18- 5 421 H Boston College HS MA 1 (13- 9, 89.1) 11- 6 424 A Newton South MA 1 ( 7-11, 80.4) 16- 3 426 H Concord Carlisle MA 2 (22- 0, 97.5) 7- 8 428 H Waltham MA 1 ( 2-14, 74.8) 19- 5 501 H Westford Academy MA 1 (15- 5, 93.7) 19- 9 503 A Weston MA 3 (16- 6, 88.1) 14- 3 510 H Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (16- 6, 92.9) 15- 9 515 H Wayland MA 2 ( 5-12, 79.5) 14- 5 517 A Waltham MA 1 ( 2-14, 74.8) 15- 3 521 H Newton South MA 1 ( 7-11, 80.4) 18- 6 523 A Medford MA 1 (14- 7, 76.8) 17- 1 603 H Chelmsford MA 1 (13-10, 85.2) 11- 4 606 H Boston College HS MA 1 (13- 9, 89.1) 8-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Masconomet 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.87 403 A Lincoln-Sudbury 13-14 o -1 1 - -2.53 405 A Westford Academy 10-16 -6 0 --- -6.66 409 A King Philip 17- 6 11 12 0.00 414 H Framingham 15-11 4 7 - -3.55 417 A Nashoba Regional 11- 4 7 4 n/a 419 H Brookline 18- 5 13 19 0.00 421 H Boston College HS 11- 6 5 7 - -2.47 424 A Newton South 16- 3 13 13 0.00 426 H Concord Carlisle 7- 8 -1 0 -0.07 428 H Waltham 19- 5 14 21 0.00 501 H Westford Academy 19- 9 10 2 +++ 7.19 503 A Weston 14- 3 11 6 + 3.73 510 H Lincoln-Sudbury 15- 9 6 3 + 2.33 515 H Wayland 14- 5 9 17 -1.00 517 A Waltham 15- 3 12 19 0.00 521 H Newton South 18- 6 12 16 0.00 523 A Medford 17- 1 16 17 0.00 603 H Chelmsford 11- 4 7 11 - -3.00 606 H Boston College HS 8-12 -4 7 --- -11.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Westford Academy 10-16 -6 0 --- -6.66 606 H Boston College HS 8-12 -4 7 --- -11.47 403 A Lincoln-Sudbury 13-14 o -1 1 - -2.53 414 H Framingham 15-11 4 7 - -3.55 421 H Boston College HS 11- 6 5 7 - -2.47 603 H Chelmsford 11- 4 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Westford Academy 19- 9 10 2 +++ 7.19 330 H Masconomet 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.87 417 A Nashoba Regional 11- 4 7 4 + 503 A Weston 14- 3 11 6 + 3.73 510 H Lincoln-Sudbury 15- 9 6 3 + 2.33/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.47 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 69.24 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 12.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3