boys probababilites for 72
2011 boys PA East PIAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ridley Dist-I 19 5 7 4 3 4 1 4 9 2.00
2 Downingtown West Dist-I 20 3 2 5 2 3 5 3 11 12.00
3 Central Bucks Ea Dist-I 22 3 3 6 4 2 8 2 12 6.00
4 Avon Grove Dist-I 17 4 5 9 5 5 6 6 17 5.00
5 Conestoga Dist-I 25 1 1 1 1 1 17 1 19 49.00
6 Allentown Centra Dist-XI 19 5 14 37 15 11 2 9 22 0.10
7 Spring-Ford Dist-I 20 4 8 28 7 10 7 7 24 2.00
8 Northeast HS Dist-XII 9 3 59 82 24 7 13 16 36 0.10
9 Garnet Valley Dist-I 15 5 9 13 6 9 27 5 41 4.00
10 Pennsbury Dist-I 15 9 20 12 21 16 3 22 41 2.00
11 Great Valley Dist-I 15 5 6 20 12 17 11 14 42 7.00
12 Springfield-Delc Dist-I 11 8 19 16 25 19 4 24 47 0.10
13 Owen J Roberts Dist-I 13 8 22 30 30 23 9 29 61 0.10
14 Penncrest Dist-I 12 7 21 23 22 25 12 25 62 0.10
15 St Joseph's Prep 19 5 4 3 11 12 41 11 64 0.10
16 Radnor Dist-I 12 8 15 10 16 18 24 23 65 2.00
17 George Washingto Dist-XII 9 1 50 83 18 6 52 8 66 0.10
18 Nazareth HS Dist-XI 14 8 35 61 44 31 10 28 69 0.10
19 Emmaus Dist-XI 15 6 18 17 19 8 49 17 74 0.10
20 Downingtown East Dist-I 13 6 13 7 8 13 58 10 81 2.00
21 Kennett Square Dist-I 10 8 28 27 31 32 20 33 85 0.10
22 Abington Dist-I 15 7 12 11 10 14 59 13 86 3.00
23 Methacton Dist-I 13 7 24 40 29 29 26 32 87 0.10
24 Holy Ghost Prep Dist-I 10 8 40 54 39 28 18 42 88 0.10
25 West Chester Hen Dist-I 8 9 29 19 34 33 16 39 88 0.10
26 Upper Dublin Dist-I 12 7 23 49 27 30 35 30 95 0.10
27 Archbishop Ryan 11 8 45 59 32 34 28 34 96 0.10
28 Boyertown Dist-I 9 10 37 33 45 37 14 46 97 0.10
29 Bishop Shanahan Dist-I 14 5 11 38 17 26 60 19 105 1.00
30 Haverford HS Dist-I 8 11 39 22 47 39 15 51 105 0.10
31 Parkland Dist-XI 13 6 27 47 28 21 63 21 105 0.10
32 Central Bucks We Dist-I 9 9 33 29 43 36 30 40 106 0.10
33 Strath Haven Dist-I 9 10 38 25 38 40 19 48 107 0.10
34 La Salle College 14 6 10 14 9 15 82 12 109 3.00
35 Hatboro-Horsham Dist-I 10 10 26 2 23 20 64 26 110 0.10
36 New Hope/Solebur Dist-I 16 2 16 75 13 24 72 15 111 0.10
37 ArchBishop Carro 11 8 41 58 35 44 32 38 114 0.10
38 Council Rock Nor Dist-I 10 9 32 41 46 38 33 44 115 0.10
39 Unionville Dist-I 10 10 25 8 26 27 57 31 115 0.10
40 Lower Merion Dist-I 7 11 42 18 49 45 22 49 116 0.10
41 Plymouth-Whitema Dist-I 14 4 17 64 14 22 79 18 119 0.10
42 Perkiomen Valley Dist-I 10 7 31 52 37 42 45 36 123 0.10
43 Cardinal O'Hara 9 9 44 55 48 47 37 47 131 0.10
44 Sun Valley Dist-I 5 12 53 21 55 49 21 62 132 0.10
45 Council Rock Sou Dist-I 8 9 47 48 51 46 34 53 133 0.10
46 Interboro Dist-I 11 6 34 67 36 43 56 35 134 0.10
47 Wissahickon Dist-I 6 12 49 35 57 53 25 60 138 0.10
48 Mastery Charter Dist-XII 3 5 79 79 40 50 62 27 139 0.10
49 Oxford Area Dist-I 4 5 78 84 20 35 84 20 139 0.10
50 Archbishop Wood 8 10 43 53 52 48 36 58 142 0.10
51 Marple Newtown Dist-I 6 12 52 32 59 54 29 61 144 0.10
52 Pennridge Dist-I 10 8 36 56 41 52 55 37 144 0.10
53 Souderton Dist-I 6 10 46 46 54 55 42 54 151 0.10
54 North Penn Dist-I 6 12 48 43 66 57 38 63 158 0.10
55 Upper Merion Dist-I 10 7 30 51 33 41 78 43 162 0.10
56 Neshaminy Dist-I 4 13 56 39 73 59 39 73 171 0.10
57 Pottsgrove Dist-I 6 12 58 57 67 60 46 65 171 0.10
58 Southern Lehigh Dist-XI 7 8 51 69 50 51 77 45 173 0.10
59 Lansdale Catholi 5 11 57 60 63 61 47 66 174 0.10
60 Springfield-Twp Dist-I 8 7 60 76 42 58 75 41 174 0.10
61 Easton Dist-XI 3 14 62 31 74 56 53 67 176 0.10
62 William Allen Dist-XI 0 16 80 45 84 74 23 82 179 0.10
63 West Chester Rus Dist-I 3 15 54 26 78 62 40 79 181 0.10
64 Harriton Dist-I 3 14 64 44 69 67 44 71 182 0.10
65 Moravian Academy Dist-XI 2 11 75 68 60 65 61 57 183 0.10
66 Central Bucks So Dist-I 2 15 61 24 81 63 43 80 186 0.10
67 Delaware Cty Chr Dist-I 4 11 81 77 56 71 65 56 192 0.10
68 Upper Darby Dist-I 0 17 82 34 82 80 31 83 194 0.10
69 Delaware Valley Dist-XII 1 10 83 81 64 77 68 50 195 0.10
70 Octorara Dist-I 1 12 74 36 65 76 51 69 196 0.10
71 Audenried Dist-XII 3 10 84 80 61 70 76 52 198 0.10
72 Cheltenham Dist-I 4 13 67 70 76 72 50 77 199 0.10
73 Pope John Paul I Dist I 3 15 71 50 80 75 48 78 201 0.10
74 Saucon Valley Dist-XI 4 9 55 66 53 66 81 55 202 0.10
75 Upper Moreland Dist-I 4 12 66 65 71 68 66 72 206 0.10
76 West Chester Eas Dist-I 1 16 65 15 72 64 69 75 208 0.10
77 Father Judge 3 10 68 73 62 78 70 64 212 0.10
78 Roman Catholic 5 12 70 74 68 73 74 68 215 0.10
79 Phoenixville Dist-I 2 13 69 42 77 69 71 76 216 0.10
80 Norristown Area Dist-I 1 16 76 63 83 84 54 84 222 0.10
81 Conwell Egan 3 12 72 72 70 81 73 70 224 0.10
82 Devon Prep Dist-I 4 11 77 78 58 83 83 59 225 0.10
83 Monsignor Bonner 3 15 73 62 79 79 67 81 227 0.10
84 Truman Dist-I 4 13 63 71 75 82 80 74 236 0.10
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