boys probababilites for 33
2011 boys Massachusetts MIAA East
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Wellesley Bay State 17 1 5 11 2 2 1 3 6 2.00
2 Dover-Sherborn TriVal 19 3 7 30 8 5 3 7 15 1.00
3 Billerica Merrimack 20 3 2 8 3 7 11 4 22 34.00
4 Marshfield Atlantic 20 1 4 48 4 6 13 5 24 2.00
5 Weston Dual County 20 2 15 45 7 10 9 6 25 1.00
6 Masconomet Cape Ann 18 2 13 46 11 12 10 12 34 0.10
7 Boston College H Catholic 15 5 12 6 6 11 16 10 37 2.00
8 Walpole Bay State 14 5 14 22 16 22 8 17 47 1.00
9 Concord Carlisle Dual County 20 2 6 9 5 3 43 2 48 4.00
10 Hingham Patriot 19 5 11 7 9 4 36 8 48 0.10
11 Medfield TriVal 18 7 9 5 12 8 31 9 48 1.00
12 Sandwich Atlantic 16 5 27 62 23 18 14 20 52 0.10
13 Scituate Patriot 13 7 23 25 28 21 2 30 53 0.10
14 St Johns Prep Da Catholic 14 8 10 1 13 9 26 21 56 0.10
15 Winchester Middlesex 14 6 29 34 38 17 19 22 58 0.10
16 Foxborough Hocomock 19 4 17 52 14 16 29 15 60 0.10
17 Barnstable Maritime 15 6 32 73 32 24 12 27 63 0.10
18 Norwell SShore 12 9 46 36 51 25 5 47 77 0.10
19 Lincoln-Sudbury Dual County 12 9 16 4 36 20 30 35 85 0.10
20 North Reading Cape Ann 20 3 37 115 15 40 34 13 87 0.10
21 Catholic Memoria Catholic 13 7 21 21 35 27 27 34 88 0.10
22 Newburyport Cape Ann 15 4 30 85 24 30 35 24 89 0.10
23 Hanover Patriot 9 9 52 29 57 34 6 52 92 0.10
24 Cohasset SShore 16 6 8 17 22 13 61 19 93 1.00
25 Brookline Bay State 14 6 26 44 26 33 24 39 96 0.10
26 Hopkinton TriVal 14 6 31 31 20 23 59 14 96 0.10
27 North Andover Cape Ann 11 9 40 37 55 38 4 54 96 0.10
28 Hamilton-Wenham Cape Ann 12 6 48 65 45 32 25 45 102 0.10
29 Needham Bay State 18 3 3 13 10 14 77 11 102 6.00
30 Falmouth HS Atlantic 12 8 53 54 48 35 17 51 103 0.10
31 Lexington Middlesex 15 6 18 12 27 15 67 23 105 0.10
32 Newton North Bay State 10 9 33 23 54 47 7 59 113 0.10
33 Beverly Northeast 13 6 35 61 40 36 40 38 114 0.10
34 Duxbury Patriot 19 3 1 3 1 1 112 1 114 45.00
35 Burlington Middlesex 11 9 45 41 66 44 22 63 129 0.10
36 Westwood TriVal 12 10 69 59 61 56 18 56 130 0.10
37 Arlington Cathol Catholic 17 5 42 109 39 43 64 25 132 0.10
38 Medway TriVal 10 10 62 58 69 51 15 66 132 0.10
39 Dennis-Yarmouth Atlantic 10 9 75 74 56 58 23 58 139 0.10
40 Shawsheen Valley Commonwealth 19 3 47 129 17 37 86 16 139 0.10
41 Tri County RVT Mayflower 14 4 91 140 37 41 66 36 143 0.10
42 Andover HS Merrimack 12 8 25 14 25 31 81 32 144 0.10
43 Upper Cape Cod R Mayflower 19 3 79 145 18 49 80 18 147 0.10
44 Acton Boxborough Dual County 15 7 19 16 29 29 78 44 151 0.10
45 Weymouth Bay State 8 10 59 33 71 60 21 80 161 0.10
46 Whitman-Hanson Patriot 8 9 70 68 72 65 28 68 161 0.10
47 Xaverian Bros Catholic 6 12 36 2 52 48 44 73 165 0.10
48 Reading Middlesex 15 6 24 35 41 19 119 28 166 0.10
49 Framingham Bay State 14 5 20 28 19 28 113 26 167 0.10
50 Franklin Hocomock 12 6 34 47 43 45 82 40 167 0.10
51 Waltham Dual County 8 10 50 20 78 53 32 83 168 0.10
52 Mystic Valley Ch Commonwealth 14 6 63 132 47 50 71 48 169 0.10
53 Austin Prep Catholic 14 6 49 95 42 39 89 42 170 0.10
54 Lynnfield Cape Ann 11 6 64 96 50 52 65 53 170 0.10
55 Westford Academy Dual County 15 7 22 18 21 26 108 37 171 0.10
56 Bridgewater-Rayn Maritime 14 5 41 116 44 57 76 43 176 0.10
57 Martha's Vineyar Maritime 8 9 80 77 83 54 45 77 176 0.10
58 Bishop Feehan Catholic 12 6 54 102 46 59 75 46 180 0.10
59 Canton Hocomock 12 7 60 91 53 73 63 49 185 0.10
60 Malden Catholic Catholic 8 10 43 26 58 68 46 71 185 0.10
61 Plymouth North Atlantic 9 10 84 82 74 80 39 79 198 0.10
62 Abington SShore 17 5 44 122 34 69 103 31 203 0.10
63 Woburn Middlesex 11 8 56 75 65 62 83 60 205 0.10
64 Wakefield Middlesex 11 8 39 88 70 67 72 67 206 0.10
65 Mansfield Hocomock 9 10 55 56 92 66 47 94 207 0.10
66 Norwood Bay State 5 12 61 24 96 82 20 106 208 0.10
67 Wayland Dual County 11 11 38 19 79 46 107 55 208 0.10
68 Natick Bay State 12 6 28 27 30 42 132 41 215 0.10
69 South Shore RVT Mayflower 8 9 124 134 89 75 48 92 215 0.10
70 Pembroke Patriot 7 10 83 71 86 72 57 87 216 0.10
71 Dartmouth Maritime 11 6 72 121 49 64 109 50 223 0.10
72 Apponequet SShore 14 4 66 127 31 61 130 33 224 0.10
73 Holliston TriVal 5 13 88 40 104 84 37 104 225 0.10
74 Georgetown Cape Ann 10 7 74 103 64 70 92 64 226 0.10
75 Marblehead Northeast 11 8 57 87 68 74 84 70 228 0.10
76 Bedford Dual County 10 11 71 81 94 90 68 75 233 0.10
77 Swampscott Northeast 8 11 87 80 105 79 55 99 233 0.10
78 Gloucester Northeast 8 9 73 78 82 77 74 86 237 0.10
79 Archbishop Willi Catholic 9 11 100 101 101 85 54 102 241 0.10
80 Nauset Atlantic 8 11 89 93 93 89 60 95 244 0.10
81 Bishop Connolly Mayflower 10 8 104 131 62 55 131 61 247 0.10
82 North Quincy Patriot 9 8 86 98 60 93 97 57 247 0.10
83 Tyngsborough Dual County 6 12 58 15 97 71 98 82 251 0.10
84 Arlington Dual County 5 13 82 57 122 101 52 100 253 0.10
85 NE Metro VoTech Commonwealth 9 8 123 135 73 88 94 72 254 0.10
86 Belmont Middlesex 8 9 65 55 85 63 116 76 255 0.10
87 Wilmington Cape Ann 6 12 93 79 115 99 42 116 257 0.10
88 King Philip Hocomock 4 14 90 42 125 96 38 125 259 0.10
89 Sharon Hocomock 10 10 67 86 90 87 85 91 263 0.10
90 Ipswich Cape Ann 3 10 99 67 100 94 70 101 265 0.10
91 North Shore/Esse Commonwealth 9 11 127 136 103 105 58 105 268 0.10
92 Bishop Stang Maritime 7 11 107 108 106 86 79 107 272 0.10
93 Newton South Dual County 2 18 97 10 141 97 33 142 272 0.10
94 Blackstone Valle MTLL 5 11 110 97 63 78 133 62 273 0.10
95 Milton Bay State 4 13 95 49 111 104 51 119 274 0.10
96 Chelmsford Merrimack 9 11 51 32 80 76 114 85 275 0.10
97 Manchester-Essex Cape Ann 6 10 96 92 98 91 88 97 276 0.10
98 Triton Regional Cape Ann 3 12 102 70 121 109 56 120 285 0.10
99 Pentucket Cape Ann 2 15 109 53 136 113 41 134 288 0.10
100 Old Rochester Re Maritime 6 7 117 120 77 83 128 78 289 0.10
101 Nashoba Valley T Commonwealth 10 11 119 113 88 81 123 90 294 0.10
102 Danvers Northeast 7 11 81 76 107 92 95 108 295 0.10
103 Matignon Middlesex 8 9 108 124 87 95 111 89 295 0.10
104 Braintree Bay State 2 16 106 38 131 112 50 140 302 0.10
105 Bourne Maritime 6 14 121 110 127 107 69 127 303 0.10
106 Quincy Patriot 0 1 143 104 33 139 139 29 307 0.10
107 Sacred Heart-Kin Mayflower 6 10 131 142 99 115 96 98 309 0.10
108 Dracut Merrimack 8 11 77 69 95 108 106 96 310 0.10
109 Medford Greater Bosto 11 7 78 111 59 102 144 65 311 0.10
110 Silver Lake Patriot 1 16 129 64 142 125 53 137 315 0.10
111 Lowell Merrimack 7 10 76 51 76 100 136 81 317 0.10
112 Ashland TriVal 8 9 68 89 81 110 124 84 318 0.10
113 Assabet Valley R MTLL 5 14 122 100 75 103 141 74 318 0.10
114 Dedham Bay State 0 16 136 39 135 128 49 141 318 0.10
115 Haverhill Merrimack 5 12 85 60 108 116 90 114 320 0.10
116 Nantucket Maritime 8 10 101 107 84 98 138 88 324 0.10
117 Peabody Northeast 5 13 94 72 120 111 91 123 325 0.10
118 Oliver Ames Hocomock 2 15 105 63 138 118 73 135 326 0.10
119 Coyle-Cassidy Indep 8 12 118 123 114 106 110 113 329 0.10
120 Marian Catholic 7 11 112 118 110 120 100 110 330 0.10
121 Melrose Middlesex 4 12 116 94 119 121 99 115 335 0.10
122 Minuteman RVT Commonwealth 5 11 133 133 112 114 115 111 340 0.10
123 Plymouth South Atlantic 1 19 134 83 144 134 62 144 340 0.10
124 St Mary's-Lynn Catholic 7 9 111 128 91 119 129 93 341 0.10
125 New Bedford Maritime 3 14 125 105 132 117 93 132 342 0.10
126 Watertown Middlesex 6 13 103 99 123 124 105 121 350 0.10
127 Cape Cod Academy Lighthouse 3 6 137 146 67 141 146 69 356 0.10
128 Fairhaven Maritime 2 17 140 117 143 129 87 143 359 0.10
129 Hull SShore 4 11 113 90 109 127 125 109 361 0.10
130 Southeastern RVT Mayflower 3 13 141 143 126 132 104 126 362 0.10
131 Gr.New Bedford R MTLL 9 11 120 141 102 126 134 103 363 0.10
132 North Attleboro Hocomock 3 14 115 84 130 135 101 130 366 0.10
133 Blue Hills RVT Mayflower 3 15 142 139 140 130 102 139 371 0.10
134 Central Catholic Merrimack 4 14 92 43 116 123 126 122 371 0.10
135 Bellingham TriVal 1 18 135 50 133 122 122 131 375 0.10
136 Lynn-Vocational Commonwealth 5 13 138 144 124 136 117 124 377 0.10
137 Whittier Vo Tech Commonwealth 0 13 146 130 129 137 118 129 384 0.10
138 Bishop Fenwick Catholic 2 14 132 112 134 133 120 133 386 0.10
139 Salem Northeast 6 14 98 114 128 131 127 128 386 0.10
140 Cambridge Rindge Greater Bosto 5 12 126 126 117 138 135 117 390 0.10
141 Mashpee SShore 2 13 130 106 113 142 143 112 397 0.10
142 Saugus Northeast 4 15 128 119 139 140 121 136 397 0.10
143 Cape Cod Tech Mayflower 0 11 144 137 118 146 145 118 409 0.10
144 Tewksbury Memori Merrimack 1 16 114 66 137 143 142 138 423 0.10
145 Lynn-Classical/E Northeast 0 20 145 138 146 145 137 146 428 0.10
146 Malden Greater Bosto 2 18 139 125 145 144 140 145 429 0.10
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